Effects on Margins of trade of European countries – (Emigrants (Immigrants) to (from) MENA) – Benchmark estimates
| OLS | IV | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All products | All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | ||||||||||||||||
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | |
| Emigrants | 0.001 | −0.012** | 0.021 | −0.023* | 0.046 | −0.018 | −0.180 | −0.046 | −0.544* | 0.245 | ||||||||||
| [0.018] | [0.006] | [0.038] | [0.013] | [0.073] | [0.024] | [0.161] | [0.034] | [0.301] | [1.490] | |||||||||||
| Immigrants | 0.023* | 0.003 | 0.034*** | 0.001 | 0.020** | −0.001 | 0.046** | 0.000 | 0.055* | 0.002 | ||||||||||
| [0.013] | [0.003] | [0.011] | [0.002] | [0.009] | [0.004] | [0.019] | [0.004] | [0.029] | [0.014] | |||||||||||
| Previous Growth | −0.337*** | −0.310*** | −0.337*** | −0.325*** | −0.260*** | −0.279*** | −0.340*** | −0.274*** | −0.270*** | −0.106 | ||||||||||
| [0.026] | [0.035] | [0.038] | [0.022] | [0.023] | [0.042] | [0.056] | [0.046] | [0.042] | [0.170] | |||||||||||
| Imports | 0.022*** | 0.021** | −0.001 | 0.002 | 0.258*** | 0.267*** | −0.006 | −0.002 | 0.314*** | 0.337*** | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.220*** | 0.267*** | −0.014 | −0.018 | 0.372*** | 0.295* | 0.008 | 0.052 |
| [0.007] | [0.010] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.031] | [0.049] | [0.004] | [0.006] | [0.062] | [0.094] | [0.008] | [0.011] | [0.048] | [0.103] | [0.012] | [0.018] | [0.051] | [0.153] | [0.018] | [0.069] | |
| Accumulated Exports | −0.036*** | −0.040*** | −0.009*** | −0.010*** | −0.482*** | −0.452*** | 0.003 | −0.000 | −0.555*** | −0.500*** | −0.009 | −0.020 | −0.519*** | −0.540*** | −0.009 | −0.006 | −0.497*** | −0.702*** | 0.020 | 0.043 |
| [0.009] | [0.011] | [0.002] | [0.003] | [0.056] | [0.058] | [0.004] | [0.005] | [0.041] | [0.065] | [0.009] | [0.014] | [0.079] | [0.114] | [0.011] | [0.020] | [0.092] | [0.195] | [0.015] | [0.068] | |
| N | 12,207 | 8,476 | 13,349 | 9,365 | 21,392 | 11,689 | 25,250 | 13,826 | 7,182 | 3,962 | 8,687 | 4,736 | 4,029 | 1985 | 4,611 | 2,283 | 992 | 316 | 1,147 | 392 |
| R2 | 0.125 | 0.116 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.236 | 0.214 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.242 | 0.180 | 0.014 | 0.019 | 0.375 | 0.158 | 0.009 | 0.189 |
| KP F Stat | 147.79 | 106.36 | 133.91 | 105.16 | 123.85 | 109.18 | 114.69 | 117.69 | 186.63 | 118.27 | 157.87 | 104.6 | 88.4 | 72.66 | 111.52 | 60.03 | ||||
| OLS | IV | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All products | All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | ||||||||||||||||
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | |
| Emigrants | 0.001 | −0.012** | 0.021 | −0.023* | 0.046 | −0.018 | −0.180 | −0.046 | −0.544* | 0.245 | ||||||||||
| [0.018] | [0.006] | [0.038] | [0.013] | [0.073] | [0.024] | [0.161] | [0.034] | [0.301] | [1.490] | |||||||||||
| Immigrants | 0.023* | 0.003 | 0.034*** | 0.001 | 0.020** | −0.001 | 0.046** | 0.000 | 0.055* | 0.002 | ||||||||||
| [0.013] | [0.003] | [0.011] | [0.002] | [0.009] | [0.004] | [0.019] | [0.004] | [0.029] | [0.014] | |||||||||||
| Previous Growth | −0.337*** | −0.310*** | −0.337*** | −0.325*** | −0.260*** | −0.279*** | −0.340*** | −0.274*** | −0.270*** | −0.106 | ||||||||||
| [0.026] | [0.035] | [0.038] | [0.022] | [0.023] | [0.042] | [0.056] | [0.046] | [0.042] | [0.170] | |||||||||||
| Imports | 0.022*** | 0.021** | −0.001 | 0.002 | 0.258*** | 0.267*** | −0.006 | −0.002 | 0.314*** | 0.337*** | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.220*** | 0.267*** | −0.014 | −0.018 | 0.372*** | 0.295* | 0.008 | 0.052 |
| [0.007] | [0.010] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.031] | [0.049] | [0.004] | [0.006] | [0.062] | [0.094] | [0.008] | [0.011] | [0.048] | [0.103] | [0.012] | [0.018] | [0.051] | [0.153] | [0.018] | [0.069] | |
| Accumulated Exports | −0.036*** | −0.040*** | −0.009*** | −0.010*** | −0.482*** | −0.452*** | 0.003 | −0.000 | −0.555*** | −0.500*** | −0.009 | −0.020 | −0.519*** | −0.540*** | −0.009 | −0.006 | −0.497*** | −0.702*** | 0.020 | 0.043 |
| [0.009] | [0.011] | [0.002] | [0.003] | [0.056] | [0.058] | [0.004] | [0.005] | [0.041] | [0.065] | [0.009] | [0.014] | [0.079] | [0.114] | [0.011] | [0.020] | [0.092] | [0.195] | [0.015] | [0.068] | |
| 12,207 | 8,476 | 13,349 | 9,365 | 21,392 | 11,689 | 25,250 | 13,826 | 7,182 | 3,962 | 8,687 | 4,736 | 4,029 | 1985 | 4,611 | 2,283 | 992 | 316 | 1,147 | 392 | |
| 0.125 | 0.116 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.236 | 0.214 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.242 | 0.180 | 0.014 | 0.019 | 0.375 | 0.158 | 0.009 | 0.189 | |
| KP | 147.79 | 106.36 | 133.91 | 105.16 | 123.85 | 109.18 | 114.69 | 117.69 | 186.63 | 118.27 | 157.87 | 104.6 | 88.4 | 72.66 | 111.52 | 60.03 | ||||
Note(s): All the specifications include country-by-year and product-by-year FE. SE clustered at the country level in brackets. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01
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