Table 5 Effects on Margins of trade of...

Table 5

Effects on Margins of trade of MENA countries – (Emigrants (Immigrants) to (from) EU) – Benchmark estimates

	OLS				IV
	All products				All products				Low-tech products				Med-tech products				High-tech products
	Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)	(9)	(10)	(11)	(12)	(13)	(14)	(15)	(16)	(17)	(18)	(19)	(20)
Emigrants		0.081**		−0.000		0.052		−0.001		0.070		−0.006		0.126		0.002		0.135		0.003
		[0.032]		[0.001]		[0.040]		[0.001]		[0.064]		[0.004]		[0.089]		[0.002]		[0.090]		[0.003]
	−0.024		0.001
Immigrants	[0.061]		[0.003]		0.040		−0.002		0.329*		−0.017*		0.286		−0.001		−0.044		0.006
					[0.117]		[0.004]		[0.171]		[0.009]		[0.251]		[0.004]		[0.126]		[0.004]
Previous growth	−0.422***	−0.399***			−0.422***	−0.400***			−0.378***	−0.358***			−0.435***	−0.423***			−0.420***	−0.391***
Previous growth	[0.019]	[0.018]			[0.019]	[0.018]			[0.028]	[0.027]			[0.027]	[0.022]			[0.037]	[0.025]
Imports	0.171***	0.263***	0.000	0.001	0.167***	0.250***	0.001	0.001	0.183***	0.296***	−0.004	0.003	0.168*	0.283***	0.006	0.002	0.370***	0.366***	0.003	0.001
	[0.046]	[0.069]	[0.002]	[0.002]	[0.045]	[0.065]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.053]	[0.095]	[0.005]	[0.004]	[0.100]	[0.087]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.099]	[0.111]	[0.002]	[0.003]

Accumulated exports	−0.661***	−0.649***	0.002	0.002	−0.662***	−0.645***	0.003***	0.002***	−0.544***	−0.527***	0.005*	0.004*	−0.727***	−0.707***	0.001	0.002	−0.898***	−0.860***	0.002	0.001
Accumulated exports	[0.101]	[0.072]	[0.002]	[0.001]	[0.096]	[0.071]	[0.001]	[0.001]	[0.088]	[0.062]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.113]	[0.086]	[0.002]	[0.002]	[0.156]	[0.127]	[0.003]	[0.001]
N	15,182	24,885	17,489	28,516	14,376	23,511	16,705	27,157	3,365	6,103	3,970	7,078	4,619	7,269	5,377	8,405	1,588	2,695	1921	3,230
R²	0.282	0.257	0.000	0.000	0.282	0.259	0.000	0.001	0.256	0.224	0.001	−0.000	0.299	0.284	0.001	0.002	0.294	0.268	0.002	0.004
KP F Stat					94.63	251.57	89.12	279.41	73.87	169.4	68.89	204.68	35.94	202.34	38.05	201.82	59.85	408l.45	53.134	363.95

	OLS				IV
	All products				All products				Low-tech products				Med-tech products				High-tech products
	Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin		Intensive margin		Extensive margin
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)	(9)	(10)	(11)	(12)	(13)	(14)	(15)	(16)	(17)	(18)	(19)	(20)
Emigrants		0.081**		−0.000		0.052		−0.001		0.070		−0.006		0.126		0.002		0.135		0.003
		[0.032]		[0.001]		[0.040]		[0.001]		[0.064]		[0.004]		[0.089]		[0.002]		[0.090]		[0.003]
	−0.024		0.001
Immigrants	[0.061]		[0.003]		0.040		−0.002		0.329*		−0.017*		0.286		−0.001		−0.044		0.006
					[0.117]		[0.004]		[0.171]		[0.009]		[0.251]		[0.004]		[0.126]		[0.004]
Previous growth	−0.422***	−0.399***			−0.422***	−0.400***			−0.378***	−0.358***			−0.435***	−0.423***			−0.420***	−0.391***
Previous growth	[0.019]	[0.018]			[0.019]	[0.018]			[0.028]	[0.027]			[0.027]	[0.022]			[0.037]	[0.025]
Imports	0.171***	0.263***	0.000	0.001	0.167***	0.250***	0.001	0.001	0.183***	0.296***	−0.004	0.003	0.168*	0.283***	0.006	0.002	0.370***	0.366***	0.003	0.001
	[0.046]	[0.069]	[0.002]	[0.002]	[0.045]	[0.065]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.053]	[0.095]	[0.005]	[0.004]	[0.100]	[0.087]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.099]	[0.111]	[0.002]	[0.003]

Accumulated exports	−0.661***	−0.649***	0.002	0.002	−0.662***	−0.645***	0.003***	0.002***	−0.544***	−0.527***	0.005*	0.004*	−0.727***	−0.707***	0.001	0.002	−0.898***	−0.860***	0.002	0.001
Accumulated exports	[0.101]	[0.072]	[0.002]	[0.001]	[0.096]	[0.071]	[0.001]	[0.001]	[0.088]	[0.062]	[0.003]	[0.002]	[0.113]	[0.086]	[0.002]	[0.002]	[0.156]	[0.127]	[0.003]	[0.001]
N	15,182	24,885	17,489	28,516	14,376	23,511	16,705	27,157	3,365	6,103	3,970	7,078	4,619	7,269	5,377	8,405	1,588	2,695	1921	3,230
R²	0.282	0.257	0.000	0.000	0.282	0.259	0.000	0.001	0.256	0.224	0.001	−0.000	0.299	0.284	0.001	0.002	0.294	0.268	0.002	0.004
KP F Stat					94.63	251.57	89.12	279.41	73.87	169.4	68.89	204.68	35.94	202.34	38.05	201.82	59.85	408l.45	53.134	363.95

Note(s): All the specifications include country-by-year and product-by-year FE. SE clustered at the country level in brackets. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01

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