Effects on Margins of trade of MENA countries including the FDI – (Emigrants (Immigrants) to (from) EU)
Dependent variables computed excluding exports to those countries where migrants are in or from
| All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | |
| Emigrants | −0.041 | 0.002 | 0.123 | −0.000 | −0.163 | 0.014* | −0.140 | −0.007** | ||||||||
| [0.143] | [0.005] | [0.173] | [0.008] | [0.358] | [0.008] | [0.224] | [0.003] | |||||||||
| Immigrants | −0.111 | 0.010 | −0.030 | −0.007 | 0.019 | 0.026* | −0.389 | −0.000 | ||||||||
| [0.184] | [0.010] | [0.256] | [0.018] | [0.454] | [0.014] | [0.669] | [0.005] | |||||||||
| Previous growth | −0.435*** | −0.426*** | −0.420*** | −0.397*** | −0.452*** | −0.454*** | −0.401*** | −0.422*** | ||||||||
| [0.018] | [0.019] | [0.033] | [0.028] | [0.027] | [0.025] | [0.016] | [0.021] | |||||||||
| Imports | 0.172* | 0.097 | 0.007** | 0.004 | 0.340** | 0.156 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.349* | 0.246* | 0.006 | 0.003 | 0.186 | 0.007 | 0.001 | 0.002* |
| [0.097] | [0.076] | [0.003] | [0.003] | [0.169] | [0.145] | [0.007] | [0.005] | [0.182] | [0.145] | [0.004] | [0.003] | [0.147] | [0.148] | [0.001] | [0.001] | |
| Accumulated exports | −0.296*** | −0.294*** | 0.002 | 0.001 | −0.224** | −0.189** | −0.004 | −0.003 | −0.292*** | −0.300*** | 0.006** | 0.001 | −0.109 | −0.203 | −0.000 | 0.000 |
| [0.052] | [0.051] | [0.002] | [0.001] | [0.097] | [0.081] | [0.005] | [0.003] | [0.071] | [0.078] | [0.003] | [0.003] | [0.170] | [0.131] | [0.001] | [0.001] | |
| FDI | −0.099 | 0.007 | −0.000 | 0.001 | −0.099 | −0.065 | 0.010* | 0.003 | −0.197 | 0.091 | −0.007 | −0.003 | 0.026 | 0.136 | −0.002 | 0.001 |
| [0.116] | [0.100] | [0.003] | [0.002] | [0.138] | [0.118] | [0.006] | [0.003] | [0.168] | [0.162] | [0.005] | [0.003] | [0.166] | [0.097] | [0.003] | [0.002] | |
| N | 8,885 | 13,655 | 10,116 | 15,425 | 2066 | 3,518 | 2,364 | 3,929 | 2,986 | 4,538 | 3,417 | 5,182 | 919 | 1,429 | 1,052 | 1,640 |
| R2 | 0.287 | 0.290 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.303 | 0.294 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.283 | 0.296 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.264 | 0.299 | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| KP F Stat | 51.69 | 90.78 | 64.22 | 97.16 | 52.95 | 48.97 | 82.09 | 58.3 | 29.27 | 56.51 | 30.77 | 58.69 | 34.69 | 179.436 | 28.132 | 181.64 |
| All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | |
| Emigrants | −0.041 | 0.002 | 0.123 | −0.000 | −0.163 | 0.014* | −0.140 | −0.007** | ||||||||
| [0.143] | [0.005] | [0.173] | [0.008] | [0.358] | [0.008] | [0.224] | [0.003] | |||||||||
| Immigrants | −0.111 | 0.010 | −0.030 | −0.007 | 0.019 | 0.026* | −0.389 | −0.000 | ||||||||
| [0.184] | [0.010] | [0.256] | [0.018] | [0.454] | [0.014] | [0.669] | [0.005] | |||||||||
| Previous growth | −0.435*** | −0.426*** | −0.420*** | −0.397*** | −0.452*** | −0.454*** | −0.401*** | −0.422*** | ||||||||
| [0.018] | [0.019] | [0.033] | [0.028] | [0.027] | [0.025] | [0.016] | [0.021] | |||||||||
| Imports | 0.172* | 0.097 | 0.007** | 0.004 | 0.340** | 0.156 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.349* | 0.246* | 0.006 | 0.003 | 0.186 | 0.007 | 0.001 | 0.002* |
| [0.097] | [0.076] | [0.003] | [0.003] | [0.169] | [0.145] | [0.007] | [0.005] | [0.182] | [0.145] | [0.004] | [0.003] | [0.147] | [0.148] | [0.001] | [0.001] | |
| Accumulated exports | −0.296*** | −0.294*** | 0.002 | 0.001 | −0.224** | −0.189** | −0.004 | −0.003 | −0.292*** | −0.300*** | 0.006** | 0.001 | −0.109 | −0.203 | −0.000 | 0.000 |
| [0.052] | [0.051] | [0.002] | [0.001] | [0.097] | [0.081] | [0.005] | [0.003] | [0.071] | [0.078] | [0.003] | [0.003] | [0.170] | [0.131] | [0.001] | [0.001] | |
| FDI | −0.099 | 0.007 | −0.000 | 0.001 | −0.099 | −0.065 | 0.010* | 0.003 | −0.197 | 0.091 | −0.007 | −0.003 | 0.026 | 0.136 | −0.002 | 0.001 |
| [0.116] | [0.100] | [0.003] | [0.002] | [0.138] | [0.118] | [0.006] | [0.003] | [0.168] | [0.162] | [0.005] | [0.003] | [0.166] | [0.097] | [0.003] | [0.002] | |
| 8,885 | 13,655 | 10,116 | 15,425 | 2066 | 3,518 | 2,364 | 3,929 | 2,986 | 4,538 | 3,417 | 5,182 | 919 | 1,429 | 1,052 | 1,640 | |
| 0.287 | 0.290 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.303 | 0.294 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.283 | 0.296 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.264 | 0.299 | 0.006 | 0.004 | |
| KP | 51.69 | 90.78 | 64.22 | 97.16 | 52.95 | 48.97 | 82.09 | 58.3 | 29.27 | 56.51 | 30.77 | 58.69 | 34.69 | 179.436 | 28.132 | 181.64 |
Note(s): All the specifications include country-by-year and product-by-year FE. SE clustered at the country level in brackets. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01
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