Effects on Margins of trade of MENA countries – (Emigrants (Immigrants) to (from) Developed Countries)
| OLS | IV | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All products | All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | ||||||||||||||||
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | |
| Emigrants | 0.045 | −0.001 | 0.080 | −0.001 | 0.067 | 0.001 | 0.193 | −0.004 | 0.182** | 0.001 | ||||||||||
| [0.040] | [0.001] | [0.056] | [0.002] | [0.083] | [0.004] | [0.128] | [0.003] | [0.082] | [0.002] | |||||||||||
| Immigrants | 0.042 | −0.003* | 0.310** | 0.004 | 0.293 | 0.029 | 0.386* | −0.002 | 0.459** | 0.004 | ||||||||||
| [0.072] | [0.002] | [0.132] | [0.006] | [0.185] | [0.019] | [0.214] | [0.008] | [0.212] | [0.003] | |||||||||||
| Previous Growth | −0.418*** | −0.398*** | −0.418*** | −0.401*** | −0.373*** | −0.365*** | −0.433*** | −0.422*** | −0.430*** | −0.401*** | ||||||||||
| [0.020] | [0.018] | [0.019] | [0.017] | [0.029] | [0.025] | [0.026] | [0.021] | [0.034] | [0.028] | |||||||||||
| Imports | 0.173*** | 0.240*** | −0.002 | −0.001 | 0.151*** | 0.221*** | −0.002 | −0.001 | 0.191*** | 0.272*** | −0.011* | −0.003 | 0.120 | 0.230*** | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.413*** | 0.418*** | 0.005** | 0.001 |
| [0.041] | [0.066] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.042] | [0.062] | [0.002] | [0.001] | [0.061] | [0.088] | [0.006] | [0.004] | [0.077] | [0.081] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.106] | [0.100] | [0.002] | [0.003] | |
| Accumulated Exports | −0.649*** | −0.660*** | 0.002 | 0.001 | −0.651*** | −0.655*** | 0.003*** | 0.002** | −0.530*** | −0.535*** | 0.002 | 0.002 | −0.717*** | −0.716*** | 0.004** | 0.003* | −0.845*** | −0.905*** | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| [0.090] | [0.074] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.086] | [0.072] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.064] | [0.062] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.104] | [0.090] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.163] | [0.136] | [0.003] | [0.002] | |
| N | 17,963 | 25,669 | 20,609 | 29,428 | 17,010 | 24,296 | 19,690 | 28,062 | 4,417 | 6,360 | 5,140 | 7,358 | 5,233 | 7,334 | 6,056 | 8,495 | 1,810 | 2,768 | 2,207 | 3,328 |
| R2 | 0.275 | 0.255 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.274 | 0.257 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.239 | 0.223 | −0.002 | 0.001 | 0.295 | 0.280 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.299 | 0.284 | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| OLS | IV | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All products | All products | Low-tech products | Med-tech products | High-tech products | ||||||||||||||||
| Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | Intensive margin | Extensive margin | |||||||||||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | |
| Emigrants | 0.045 | −0.001 | 0.080 | −0.001 | 0.067 | 0.001 | 0.193 | −0.004 | 0.182** | 0.001 | ||||||||||
| [0.040] | [0.001] | [0.056] | [0.002] | [0.083] | [0.004] | [0.128] | [0.003] | [0.082] | [0.002] | |||||||||||
| Immigrants | 0.042 | −0.003* | 0.310** | 0.004 | 0.293 | 0.029 | 0.386* | −0.002 | 0.459** | 0.004 | ||||||||||
| [0.072] | [0.002] | [0.132] | [0.006] | [0.185] | [0.019] | [0.214] | [0.008] | [0.212] | [0.003] | |||||||||||
| Previous Growth | −0.418*** | −0.398*** | −0.418*** | −0.401*** | −0.373*** | −0.365*** | −0.433*** | −0.422*** | −0.430*** | −0.401*** | ||||||||||
| [0.020] | [0.018] | [0.019] | [0.017] | [0.029] | [0.025] | [0.026] | [0.021] | [0.034] | [0.028] | |||||||||||
| Imports | 0.173*** | 0.240*** | −0.002 | −0.001 | 0.151*** | 0.221*** | −0.002 | −0.001 | 0.191*** | 0.272*** | −0.011* | −0.003 | 0.120 | 0.230*** | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.413*** | 0.418*** | 0.005** | 0.001 |
| [0.041] | [0.066] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.042] | [0.062] | [0.002] | [0.001] | [0.061] | [0.088] | [0.006] | [0.004] | [0.077] | [0.081] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.106] | [0.100] | [0.002] | [0.003] | |
| Accumulated Exports | −0.649*** | −0.660*** | 0.002 | 0.001 | −0.651*** | −0.655*** | 0.003*** | 0.002** | −0.530*** | −0.535*** | 0.002 | 0.002 | −0.717*** | −0.716*** | 0.004** | 0.003* | −0.845*** | −0.905*** | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| [0.090] | [0.074] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.086] | [0.072] | [0.001] | [0.001] | [0.064] | [0.062] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.104] | [0.090] | [0.002] | [0.002] | [0.163] | [0.136] | [0.003] | [0.002] | |
| 17,963 | 25,669 | 20,609 | 29,428 | 17,010 | 24,296 | 19,690 | 28,062 | 4,417 | 6,360 | 5,140 | 7,358 | 5,233 | 7,334 | 6,056 | 8,495 | 1,810 | 2,768 | 2,207 | 3,328 | |
| 0.275 | 0.255 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.274 | 0.257 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.239 | 0.223 | −0.002 | 0.001 | 0.295 | 0.280 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.299 | 0.284 | 0.003 | 0.002 | |
Note(s): All the specifications include country-by-year and product-by-year FE. Standard errors in brackets. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01
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