Multinomial endogenous treatment model using various radii to compute the measure of employment potential
| Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multinomial endogenous treatment estimates | 20 Km radius | 30 Km radius | 40 Km radius | ||||||
| Full-time student | Reference category | Reference category | Reference category | ||||||
| Part-time job – related | 0.063*** (0.011) | 0.294*** (0.033) | 0.060 (0.070) | 0.063*** (0.011) | 0.296*** (0.034) | 0.060 (0.068) | 0.060*** (0.008) | 0.295*** (0.034) | 0.060 (0.069) |
| Part-time job – not related | −0.204*** (0.010) | 0.169*** (0.039) | −0.423*** (0.031) | −0.204*** (0.010) | 0.165*** (0.038) | −0.423*** (0.030) | −0.222*** (0.009) | 0.168*** (0.039) | −0.423*** (0.030) |
| Full-time job – related | 0.052*** (0.008) | 0.232*** (0.080) | 0.027 (0.034) | 0.052*** (0.008) | 0.230*** (0.077) | 0.026 (0.032) | 0.049*** (0.007) | 0.229*** (0.075) | 0.026 (0.033) |
| Full-time job – not related | 0.010 (0.012) | −0.004 (0.154) | −0.155*** (0.036) | 0.010 (0.012) | −0.006 (0.152) | −0.155*** (0.034) | 0.012 (0.012) | −0.006 (0.151) | −0.155*** (0.035) |
| λ2 | −0.050*** (0.007) | −0.276*** (0.036) | −0.038 (0.084) | −0.050*** (0.007) | −0.278*** (0.037) | −0.038 (0.082) | −0.050*** (0.006) | −0.277*** (0.037) | −0.038 (0.083) |
| λ3 | 0.273*** (0.007) | −0.115*** (0.042) | 0.453*** (0.035) | 0.273*** (0.007) | −0.111*** (0.041) | 0.453*** (0.034) | 0.295*** (0.005) | −0.115*** (0.042) | 0.453*** (0.035) |
| λ4 | −0.016** (0.008) | −0.148* (0.089) | −0.003 (0.028) | −0.016** (0.008) | −0.146* (0.086) | −0.003 (0.027) | −0.013* (0.007) | −0.145* (0.084) | −0.003 (0.027) |
| λ5 | −0.006 (0.009) | 0.113 (0.165) | −0.003 (0.024) | −0.006 (0.009) | 0.114 (0.163) | −0.003 (0.023) | −0.013** (0.005) | 0.115 (0.162) | −0.003 (0.024) |
| Mixed multinomial logit estimates for the exclusion restriction: employment potential (Zm) | |||||||||
| 20 Km radius | 30 Km radius | 40 Km radius | |||||||
| Part-time related vs full time student | 0.319* (0.164) | 0.417*** (0.155) | 0.398** (0.160) | 0.558*** (0.166) | 0.659*** (0.173) | 0.631*** (0.182) | 0.697*** (0.177) | 0.784*** (0.183) | 0.761*** (0.197) |
| Part-time not related vs full time student | 0.619*** (0.159) | 0.703*** (0.187) | 0.599*** (0.176) | 0.769*** (0.185) | 0.839*** (0.215) | 0.782*** (0.203) | 0.799*** (0.202) | 0.889*** (0.236) | 0.783*** (0.219) |
| Full time related vs full time student | 0.814*** (0.220) | 0.876*** (0.206) | 0.870*** (0.211) | 0.910*** (0.246) | 1.062*** (0.244) | 1.045*** (0.248) | 1.015*** (0.273) | 1.202*** (0.279) | 1.183*** (0.287) |
| Full time not related vs full time student | 0.493 (0.305) | 0.614* (0.343) | 0.652* (0.346) | 0.894** (0.389) | 0.940** (0.439) | 0.960** (0.436) | 0.802* (0.461) | 0.812 (0.516) | 0.888* (0.515) |
| Number of observations | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 |
| Goodness of fit from multinomial logit | |||||||||
| McFadden | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | ||||||
| AIC | 65107.403 | 65104.899 | 65107.790 | ||||||
| BIC | 66081.169 | 66078.666 | 66081.556 | ||||||
| Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | Employed | Permanent contract | Specific degree required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Km radius | 30 Km radius | 40 Km radius | |||||||
| Full-time student | |||||||||
| Part-time job – related | 0.063*** (0.011) | 0.294*** (0.033) | 0.060 (0.070) | 0.063*** (0.011) | 0.296*** (0.034) | 0.060 (0.068) | 0.060*** (0.008) | 0.295*** (0.034) | 0.060 (0.069) |
| Part-time job – not related | −0.204*** (0.010) | 0.169*** (0.039) | −0.423*** (0.031) | −0.204*** (0.010) | 0.165*** (0.038) | −0.423*** (0.030) | −0.222*** (0.009) | 0.168*** (0.039) | −0.423*** (0.030) |
| Full-time job – related | 0.052*** (0.008) | 0.232*** (0.080) | 0.027 (0.034) | 0.052*** (0.008) | 0.230*** (0.077) | 0.026 (0.032) | 0.049*** (0.007) | 0.229*** (0.075) | 0.026 (0.033) |
| Full-time job – not related | 0.010 (0.012) | −0.004 (0.154) | −0.155*** (0.036) | 0.010 (0.012) | −0.006 (0.152) | −0.155*** (0.034) | 0.012 (0.012) | −0.006 (0.151) | −0.155*** (0.035) |
| −0.050*** (0.007) | −0.276*** (0.036) | −0.038 (0.084) | −0.050*** (0.007) | −0.278*** (0.037) | −0.038 (0.082) | −0.050*** (0.006) | −0.277*** (0.037) | −0.038 (0.083) | |
| 0.273*** (0.007) | −0.115*** (0.042) | 0.453*** (0.035) | 0.273*** (0.007) | −0.111*** (0.041) | 0.453*** (0.034) | 0.295*** (0.005) | −0.115*** (0.042) | 0.453*** (0.035) | |
| −0.016** (0.008) | −0.148* (0.089) | −0.003 (0.028) | −0.016** (0.008) | −0.146* (0.086) | −0.003 (0.027) | −0.013* (0.007) | −0.145* (0.084) | −0.003 (0.027) | |
| −0.006 (0.009) | 0.113 (0.165) | −0.003 (0.024) | −0.006 (0.009) | 0.114 (0.163) | −0.003 (0.023) | −0.013** (0.005) | 0.115 (0.162) | −0.003 (0.024) | |
| 20 Km radius | 30 Km radius | 40 Km radius | |||||||
| Part-time related vs full time student | 0.319* (0.164) | 0.417*** (0.155) | 0.398** (0.160) | 0.558*** (0.166) | 0.659*** (0.173) | 0.631*** (0.182) | 0.697*** (0.177) | 0.784*** (0.183) | 0.761*** (0.197) |
| Part-time not related vs full time student | 0.619*** (0.159) | 0.703*** (0.187) | 0.599*** (0.176) | 0.769*** (0.185) | 0.839*** (0.215) | 0.782*** (0.203) | 0.799*** (0.202) | 0.889*** (0.236) | 0.783*** (0.219) |
| Full time related vs full time student | 0.814*** (0.220) | 0.876*** (0.206) | 0.870*** (0.211) | 0.910*** (0.246) | 1.062*** (0.244) | 1.045*** (0.248) | 1.015*** (0.273) | 1.202*** (0.279) | 1.183*** (0.287) |
| Full time not related vs full time student | 0.493 (0.305) | 0.614* (0.343) | 0.652* (0.346) | 0.894** (0.389) | 0.940** (0.439) | 0.960** (0.436) | 0.802* (0.461) | 0.812 (0.516) | 0.888* (0.515) |
| Number of observations | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 | 24,704 | 21,870 | 21,883 |
| McFadden | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | ||||||
| AIC | 65107.403 | 65104.899 | 65107.790 | ||||||
| BIC | 66081.169 | 66078.666 | 66081.556 | ||||||
Note(s): Standard errors (in parenthesis) are clustered at the municipality level; *** significant at 1%, ** significant at 5%, * significant at 10%. All regressions include controls for gender, age (in the survey year for the outcome equation, two years before graduation in the multinomial equation), highest parental education, dummies for wave and university, as well as field of study fixed effects (96 indicators for the outcome equations, 17 for the multinomial equation)
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