Important research papers and corresponding methods
| Authors | Research area | Method | Conclusions | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amundsen and Elin (2005) | Denmark | Maximum entropy | Only small banks are affected by the risk contagion | |
| Elsinger et al. (2006) | England | Maximum entropy | Two primary sources of systemic risk are relationship credit and related exposure | |
| Hellwig (2009) | USA | Balance sheet shock | Systemic risk comes from the balance sheet effect, asset price effect and information contagion effect | |
| Upper (2011) | \ | Maximum entropy | The possibility of default contagion is not high, but it cannot be completely ruled out | |
| Arinaminpathy et al. (2012) | USA | Balance sheet shock | The importance of large and well-connected banks in system stability is proportional to the size | |
| Gao and Pan (2012) | China | Maximum entropy and count model | Under the completely decentralized market structure, the contagion risk of the interbank market is minimal | |
| Paltalidis et al. (2015) | Euro zone | Maximum entropy | Sovereign credit risk is the main source of contagion in the banking network | |
| Souza et al. (2015) | Brazil | Maximum impact chart and minimum spanning tree | Scale is not the only determinant of the characters of the network. Some large financial institutions have fewer contagion losses than medium-sized institutions | |
| Sun (2020) | China | Maximum entropy | Bank defaults have the least contagious effect on China's interbank network | |
| Chen et al. (2020a, b) | China | Maximum entropy | The higher the ratio of interbank assets, the stronger the contagion effects of credit risk | |
| Chen et al. (2020a, b) | China | Maximum entropy | The level of contagion caused by liquidity shocks has shown a clear downward trend | |
| Haldane and May (2011) | Balance sheet shock | Proposed the framework to study the impact of risk on the balance sheet. | ||
| Feng and Li (2021) | China | A model with random shocks | Cross shareholding networks magnify and spread small but continuous external shocks | |
| Theoretical methods | Ren et al. (2014) | \ | Liquidating payments | The existence, uniqueness and continuity of financial networks can be used as the basis of systematic risk measurement |
| Hurd (2016) | \ | Random graph | Bootstrap percolation is an accurate concept to solve and understand the cascade growth of simple networks | |
| Blavarg and Nimander (2002) | Sweden | Credit risk mitigation of counterparties | Banks with significant risk exposures are more likely to cause systemic risks | |
| Bilateral transaction exposure | Lelyveld and Liedorp (2006) | Holland | Maximum entropy | The bankruptcy of a large bank will bring a considerable burden to other banks, but it will not lead to a complete collapse of the market. |
| Frisell et al. (2007) | Sweden | Monte Carlo simulation | Reconstruct bilateral exposures could underestimate the risk of default contagion | |
| Memmel and Stein (2008) | German | Round by round algorithm | The overall risk of interbank contagion is very low, but contagion may occur if a large bank fails | |
| Mistrulli (2011) | Italy | Maximum entropy | The maximum entropy method overestimates the effects of contagion | |
| Kanno (2015) | Japan | Maximum entropy estimation and SIR model | The three global systemically essential banks overwhelmed other banking groups in terms of interconnectivity | |
| Hausenblas et al. (2015) | Czech Republic | Computational model | The possibility of contagion caused by credit loss of interbank risk exposure is limited | |
| Gorpe et al. (2019) | Euro zone | CoMap | A critical point at which less fragility spreads to a highly fragile country is a nonlinear function of the combination of network structure and bank characteristics | |
| Others | Huynh et al. (2020) | Vietnam | Chi-plots and Kendall plots and copula | The risk of each bank may be passed on to other banks through stock returns |
| Ahelegbey et al. (2020) | Worldwide | VAR model | Bilateral risk exposure and market prices are both infectious channels for one country to transmit shocks to other countries | |
| Xlg et al. (2020) | China | Macro jump and volatility spillover network | The capital market service industry plays a leading role in risk contagion, followed by the currency service industry and the insurance industry | |
| Chen et al. (2021) | China | A model for solvency contagion risk | Systemic contagion losses of the network are highly dependent on the perceived exogenous recovery rate | |
| Yang et al. (2021) | China | EPU network | China is the Asia–Pacific EPU network's center |
| Authors | Research area | Method | Conclusions | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | Maximum entropy | Only small banks are affected by the risk contagion | ||
| England | Maximum entropy | Two primary sources of systemic risk are relationship credit and related exposure | ||
| USA | Balance sheet shock | Systemic risk comes from the balance sheet effect, asset price effect and information contagion effect | ||
| \ | Maximum entropy | The possibility of default contagion is not high, but it cannot be completely ruled out | ||
| USA | Balance sheet shock | The importance of large and well-connected banks in system stability is proportional to the size | ||
| China | Maximum entropy and count model | Under the completely decentralized market structure, the contagion risk of the interbank market is minimal | ||
| Euro zone | Maximum entropy | Sovereign credit risk is the main source of contagion in the banking network | ||
| Brazil | Maximum impact chart and minimum spanning tree | Scale is not the only determinant of the characters of the network. Some large financial institutions have fewer contagion losses than medium-sized institutions | ||
| China | Maximum entropy | Bank defaults have the least contagious effect on China's interbank network | ||
| China | Maximum entropy | The higher the ratio of interbank assets, the stronger the contagion effects of credit risk | ||
| China | Maximum entropy | The level of contagion caused by liquidity shocks has shown a clear downward trend | ||
| Balance sheet shock | Proposed the framework to study the impact of risk on the balance sheet. | |||
| China | A model with random shocks | Cross shareholding networks magnify and spread small but continuous external shocks | ||
| Theoretical methods | \ | Liquidating payments | The existence, uniqueness and continuity of financial networks can be used as the basis of systematic risk measurement | |
| \ | Random graph | Bootstrap percolation is an accurate concept to solve and understand the cascade growth of simple networks | ||
| Sweden | Credit risk mitigation of counterparties | Banks with significant risk exposures are more likely to cause systemic risks | ||
| Bilateral transaction exposure | Holland | Maximum entropy | The bankruptcy of a large bank will bring a considerable burden to other banks, but it will not lead to a complete collapse of the market. | |
| Sweden | Monte Carlo simulation | Reconstruct bilateral exposures could underestimate the risk of default contagion | ||
| German | Round by round algorithm | The overall risk of interbank contagion is very low, but contagion may occur if a large bank fails | ||
| Italy | Maximum entropy | The maximum entropy method overestimates the effects of contagion | ||
| Japan | Maximum entropy estimation and SIR model | The three global systemically essential banks overwhelmed other banking groups in terms of interconnectivity | ||
| Czech Republic | Computational model | The possibility of contagion caused by credit loss of interbank risk exposure is limited | ||
| Euro zone | CoMap | A critical point at which less fragility spreads to a highly fragile country is a nonlinear function of the combination of network structure and bank characteristics | ||
| Others | Vietnam | Chi-plots and Kendall plots and copula | The risk of each bank may be passed on to other banks through stock returns | |
| Worldwide | VAR model | Bilateral risk exposure and market prices are both infectious channels for one country to transmit shocks to other countries | ||
| China | Macro jump and volatility spillover network | The capital market service industry plays a leading role in risk contagion, followed by the currency service industry and the insurance industry | ||
| China | A model for solvency contagion risk | Systemic contagion losses of the network are highly dependent on the perceived exogenous recovery rate | ||
| China | EPU network | China is the Asia–Pacific EPU network's center |
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