Summary of price and return models
| Model | Dependent variable | Independent variables | R2 (%) | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIM price model | Equity price | BV and AR | 82 | 0.77 |
| DDM price model | Equity price | ΔBV and EPS | 78 | 0.85 |
| RIM return model | Equity return | BV/P and AR/P | 10 | 0.24 |
| DDM return model | Equity return | ΔBV/P and EPS/P | 14.8 | 0.23 |
| Standard market model | Equity return | Market return | 3 | 0.25 |
| Model | Dependent variable | Independent variables | RMSE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIM price model | Equity price | BV and AR | 82 | 0.77 |
| DDM price model | Equity price | ΔBV and EPS | 78 | 0.85 |
| RIM return model | Equity return | BV/P and AR/P | 10 | 0.24 |
| DDM return model | Equity return | ΔBV/P and EPS/P | 14.8 | 0.23 |
| Standard market model | Equity return | Market return | 3 | 0.25 |
Notes:
BV (book value per share), AR (PV of abnormal returns) BV/P (the book value to price) AR/P (PV of abnormal returns to price), ΔBV (change in book value), EPS (PV of earning per share), ΔBV/P (change in book value to price) and EPS/P (earning per share to price), R2 (explanatory power) and RMSE (root mean square error)
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