Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests for unit roots
| Type | ρ | Pr<ρ | τ | Pr<τ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A: daily data | ||||||
| Brent Index | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7115 | 0.26 | 0.7608 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.27 | 0.2581 | −2.09 | 0.2473 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.67 | 0.459 | −2.16 | 0.51 | UR | |
| Brent Index Return | Zero mean | −965.22 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −966.49 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −967.81 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| ICE Brent Crude Futures (CO) | ||||||
| 1-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7111 | 0.26 | 0.7606 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.24 | 0.26 | −2.1 | 0.2455 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.32 | 0.4842 | −2.12 | 0.5318 | UR | |
| 2-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7109 | 0.26 | 0.7612 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.29 | 0.2569 | −2.1 | 0.2464 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.36 | 0.481 | −2.13 | 0.5267 | UR | |
| 3-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.11 | 0.7096 | 0.25 | 0.7587 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.44 | 0.248 | −2.11 | 0.2423 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.51 | 0.4701 | −2.15 | 0.5158 | UR | |
| 1-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −911.14 | 0.0001 | −21.32 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −911.14 | 0.0001 | −21.31 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −911.4 | 0.0001 | −21.3 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 2-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −915.97 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −916.79 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −916.98 | 0.0001 | −21.37 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 3-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −915.58 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −916.15 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −916.65 | 0.0001 | −21.37 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Panel B: 30-minute intraday data | ||||||
| 1-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.13 | 0.7127 | 0.26 | 0.7631 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.92 | 0.2225 | −2.22 | 0.1972 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.83 | 0.4498 | −2.21 | 0.4847 | UR | |
| 2-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7122 | 0.27 | 0.7634 | UR |
| Single mean | −8 | 0.2182 | −2.22 | 0.1974 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.89 | 0.4462 | −2.22 | 0.4792 | UR | |
| 3-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7108 | 0.26 | 0.761 | UR |
| Single mean | −8.53 | 0.1924 | −2.3 | 0.1732 | UR | |
| Trend | −10.11 | 0.4305 | −2.26 | 0.4557 | UR | |
| 1-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −46,937 | 0.0001 | −153.19 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −46,940 | 0.0001 | −153.19 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −46,942 | 0.0001 | −153.2 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| 2-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −42,206 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −42,208 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −42,210 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| 3-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −34,247 | 0.0001 | −130.85 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −34,249 | 0.0001 | −130.85 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −34,251 | 0.0001 | −130.86 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Type | Pr< | Pr< | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Index | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7115 | 0.26 | 0.7608 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.27 | 0.2581 | −2.09 | 0.2473 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.67 | 0.459 | −2.16 | 0.51 | UR | |
| Brent Index Return | Zero mean | −965.22 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −966.49 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −967.81 | 0.0001 | −21.95 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 1-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7111 | 0.26 | 0.7606 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.24 | 0.26 | −2.1 | 0.2455 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.32 | 0.4842 | −2.12 | 0.5318 | UR | |
| 2-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7109 | 0.26 | 0.7612 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.29 | 0.2569 | −2.1 | 0.2464 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.36 | 0.481 | −2.13 | 0.5267 | UR | |
| 3-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.11 | 0.7096 | 0.25 | 0.7587 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.44 | 0.248 | −2.11 | 0.2423 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.51 | 0.4701 | −2.15 | 0.5158 | UR | |
| 1-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −911.14 | 0.0001 | −21.32 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −911.14 | 0.0001 | −21.31 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −911.4 | 0.0001 | −21.3 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 2-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −915.97 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −916.79 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −916.98 | 0.0001 | −21.37 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 3-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −915.58 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −916.15 | 0.0001 | −21.38 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −916.65 | 0.0001 | −21.37 | <0.0001 | No UR | |
| 1-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.13 | 0.7127 | 0.26 | 0.7631 | UR |
| Single mean | −7.92 | 0.2225 | −2.22 | 0.1972 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.83 | 0.4498 | −2.21 | 0.4847 | UR | |
| 2-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7122 | 0.27 | 0.7634 | UR |
| Single mean | −8 | 0.2182 | −2.22 | 0.1974 | UR | |
| Trend | −9.89 | 0.4462 | −2.22 | 0.4792 | UR | |
| 3-month Futures prices | Zero mean | 0.12 | 0.7108 | 0.26 | 0.761 | UR |
| Single mean | −8.53 | 0.1924 | −2.3 | 0.1732 | UR | |
| Trend | −10.11 | 0.4305 | −2.26 | 0.4557 | UR | |
| 1-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −46,937 | 0.0001 | −153.19 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −46,940 | 0.0001 | −153.19 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −46,942 | 0.0001 | −153.2 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| 2-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −42,206 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −42,208 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −42,210 | 0.0001 | −145.27 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| 3-month Futures returns | Zero mean | −34,247 | 0.0001 | −130.85 | 0.0001 | No UR |
| Single mean | −34,249 | 0.0001 | −130.85 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
| Trend | −34,251 | 0.0001 | −130.86 | 0.0001 | No UR | |
Notes: Three different Dickey-Fuller test results are presented in the table. The last column summarizes whether there are unit roots (UR) or not (No UR) based on 5 percent statistical significance
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