Fund index multi-factor regression results
| Variable | Coef | All | Balanced | Bond | EBond | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| α | Estimate | −0.0017 | −0.003 | −0.0015 | −0.0011 | 0.0007 |
| α | t-stat | −2.1016 | −1.5376 | −3.15 | −1.2319 | 0.3017 |
| BAll | Estimate | −0.1036 | −1.3757 | 0.7933 | ||
| BAll | t-stat | −0.5496 | −3.0844 | 7.7201 | ||
| BIST | Estimate | 0.1249 | 0.2721 | 0.9004 | ||
| BIST | t-stat | 22.2208 | 20.457 | 67.6843 | ||
| Bond91 | Estimate | 0.9115 | 2.2122 | 0.2531 | 0.1245 | −0.0419 |
| Bond91 | t-stat | 3.9098 | 4.0101 | 1.9589 | 1.5525 | −0.2219 |
| Curvature | Estimate | −0.1501 | −0.5728 | −0.1053 | −0.1025 | |
| Curvature | t-stat | −3.2755 | −5.2836 | −3.9824 | −2.4319 | |
| EBond | Estimate | 0.0713 | 0.1203 | 0.7252 | ||
| EBond | t-stat | 3.8228 | 2.725 | 34.7642 | ||
| EURUSD | Estimate | 0.027 | 0.0445 | 0.1797 | ||
| EURUSD | t-stat | 2.0547 | 1.4318 | 11.9445 | ||
| Momentum | Estimate | 0.0006 | −0.048 | −0.0564 | ||
| Momentum | t-stat | 0.0653 | −2.0976 | −2.0225 | ||
| Size | Estimate | −0.0085 | −0.0563 | 0.0224 | ||
| Size | t-stat | −0.7921 | −2.2134 | 0.7239 | ||
| Slope | Estimate | 0.6353 | 1.7749 | 0.0247 | 0.027 | |
| Slope | t-stat | 3.0551 | 3.6074 | 0.2085 | 0.5714 | |
| TIPS | Estimate | 0.1427 | 0.2575 | −0.0145 | ||
| TIPS | t-stat | 4.262 | 3.2508 | −0.7518 | ||
| USDTRY | Estimate | 0.0605 | 0.0686 | 0.1238 | ||
| USDTRY | t-stat | 3.09 | 1.4789 | 6.0373 | ||
| Value | Estimate | 0.0039 | −0.0283 | 0.0565 | ||
| Value | t-stat | 0.3358 | −1.0269 | 1.6772 | ||
| R2 | 0.8992 | 0.8314 | 0.9747 | 0.9697 | 0.9667 |
| Variable | Coef | All | Balanced | Bond | EBond | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate | −0.0017 | −0.003 | −0.0015 | −0.0011 | 0.0007 | |
| −2.1016 | −1.5376 | −3.15 | −1.2319 | 0.3017 | ||
| Estimate | −0.1036 | −1.3757 | 0.7933 | |||
| −0.5496 | −3.0844 | 7.7201 | ||||
| Estimate | 0.1249 | 0.2721 | 0.9004 | |||
| 22.2208 | 20.457 | 67.6843 | ||||
| Estimate | 0.9115 | 2.2122 | 0.2531 | 0.1245 | −0.0419 | |
| 3.9098 | 4.0101 | 1.9589 | 1.5525 | −0.2219 | ||
| Estimate | −0.1501 | −0.5728 | −0.1053 | −0.1025 | ||
| −3.2755 | −5.2836 | −3.9824 | −2.4319 | |||
| Estimate | 0.0713 | 0.1203 | 0.7252 | |||
| 3.8228 | 2.725 | 34.7642 | ||||
| EURUSD | Estimate | 0.027 | 0.0445 | 0.1797 | ||
| EURUSD | 2.0547 | 1.4318 | 11.9445 | |||
| Momentum | Estimate | 0.0006 | −0.048 | −0.0564 | ||
| Momentum | 0.0653 | −2.0976 | −2.0225 | |||
| Size | Estimate | −0.0085 | −0.0563 | 0.0224 | ||
| Size | −0.7921 | −2.2134 | 0.7239 | |||
| Slope | Estimate | 0.6353 | 1.7749 | 0.0247 | 0.027 | |
| Slope | 3.0551 | 3.6074 | 0.2085 | 0.5714 | ||
| TIPS | Estimate | 0.1427 | 0.2575 | −0.0145 | ||
| TIPS | 4.262 | 3.2508 | −0.7518 | |||
| USDTRY | Estimate | 0.0605 | 0.0686 | 0.1238 | ||
| USDTRY | 3.09 | 1.4789 | 6.0373 | |||
| Value | Estimate | 0.0039 | −0.0283 | 0.0565 | ||
| Value | 0.3358 | −1.0269 | 1.6772 | |||
| 0.8992 | 0.8314 | 0.9747 | 0.9697 | 0.9667 |
Notes: Dependent variable is AUM weighted fund category indices. Slope is defined as difference between BIST-KYD All Bonds Index and BIST-KYD 182 Day Bond Index. Curvature is generated as the return of a portfolio taking a unit long position in BIST-KYD All bonds index and BIST-KYD 182 day index and simultaneously holding two short positions in BIST-KYD 365 day bond index. USDTRY and EURUSD stand for exchange rates. TIPS is the return difference BIST-KYD All Bonds Index and BIST-KYD Inflation Linked Bonds Index. Size, Value and Momentum are factors from Fama and French (1993) and Carhart (1997) with two modifications. We remove any stock with negative book value, and use monthly re-balancing. Other covariates are defined in Table V
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