Three non-independent crisis scenarios considered for robustness analysis along with probabilities of occurrence, locations effected and associated increase in regional demand to handle crisis
| Epidemic | Terrorist attack | Internal conflict | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likelihood | 20% | 50% | 80% |
| Countries affected | Liberia, Senegal and Sierra Leone | Chad, Niger and Nigeria | Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger |
| Demand increase | 300% | 200% | 100% |
| Epidemic | Terrorist attack | Internal conflict | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likelihood | 20% | 50% | 80% |
| Countries affected | Liberia, Senegal and Sierra Leone | Chad, Niger and Nigeria | Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger |
| Demand increase | 300% | 200% | 100% |
Source(s): www.cdc.gov (2017), Roby (2018)
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