Table 5

Eight possible combinations of the three crisis scenarios with associated probability of occurrence

Event notationEpidemicTerrorist attackInternal conflictProb. Occurrence
None   8%
A✓  2%
B ✓ 8%
C  ✓32%
AB✓✓ 2%
AC✓ ✓8%
BC ✓✓32%
ABC✓✓✓8%
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