Table 2

Simulated outcomes from a discrete-time chain versus a continuous-time chain Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation

Outcome
Squad A WinsSquad B WinsLethal Draws
Discrete-time Chain
Likelihood33.26%61.26%5.48%
Casualties Sustained11.2310.55N/A
Continuous-time Chain
Likelihood26.12%73.88%0.00%
Casualties Sustained9.077.42N/A

Note(s): Performance data is based on the 50% accuracy condition and the same 10% advantage to both speed and accuracy outlined in the first simulation

Source(s): Table by authors

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