Table 4. Confusion matrix for coincident...

Table 4.

Confusion matrix for coincident analysis (logistic regression)

		Prediction
		Expansion	Contraction	Total
Panel A: Excluding the OnBid auction rate
Actual	Expansion	76	24	100
	Contraction	29	60	89
	Total	105	84	189
Panel B: Including the OnBid auction rate
Actual	Expansion	81	19	100
	Contraction	21	68	89
	Total	102	87	189

		Prediction
		Expansion	Contraction	Total
Panel A: Excluding the OnBid auction rate
Actual	Expansion	76	24	100
	Contraction	29	60	89
	Total	105	84	189
Panel B: Including the OnBid auction rate
Actual	Expansion	81	19	100
	Contraction	21	68	89
	Total	102	87	189

Notes:

This table reports results of confusion matrix for coincident analysis by using logistic regression. Note that the total number of building blocks used in multiperiod binary classification is 189 months that consist of 89 months in contraction and 100 months in expansion

[ViewLarge]

Sharing Unavailable