Table 6. Confusion matrix for coincident...

Table 6.

Confusion matrix for coincident analysis (support vector machine)

	Prediction
	Expansion	Contraction	Total
Panel A: Excluding the OnBid auction rate
Actual
Expansion	89	11	100
Contraction	18	71	89
Total	107	82	189
Panel B: Including the OnBid auction rate
Actual
Expansion	83	17	100
Contraction	18	81	89
Total	101	98	189

	Prediction
	Expansion	Contraction	Total
Panel A: Excluding the OnBid auction rate
Actual
Expansion	89	11	100
Contraction	18	71	89
Total	107	82	189
Panel B: Including the OnBid auction rate
Actual
Expansion	83	17	100
Contraction	18	81	89
Total	101	98	189

Notes:

This table reports results of confusion matrix for coincident analysis by using support vector machine along with the entire data. Note that the total number of building blocks used in multiperiod binary classification is 189 months that consist of 89 months in contraction and 100 months in expansion

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