Components of the expected rate of return
| Classification | Factor decomposition of expected rate of return |
|---|---|
| Domestic bonds | Risk-free interest rate (estimation) + term spread + credit spread + expected capital gain or loss |
| Overseas bonds | Risk-free interest rate (estimation) + credit spread + expected capital gain or loss + foreign exchange hedge premium |
| Stock | GDP (estimation) + CPI (estimation) + dividend yield (prediction) |
| Alternative investment | Weighted average of expected return by sector (Assumptions: Real Estate: Private Equity Fund: Infrastructure ratio of 4:4:2 & Domestic: Foreign ratio of 5:5) |
| Classification | Factor decomposition of expected rate of return |
|---|---|
| Domestic bonds | Risk-free interest rate (estimation) + term spread + credit spread + expected capital gain or loss |
| Overseas bonds | Risk-free interest rate (estimation) + credit spread + expected capital gain or loss + foreign exchange hedge premium |
| Stock | GDP (estimation) + CPI (estimation) + dividend yield (prediction) |
| Alternative investment | Weighted average of expected return by sector (Assumptions: Real Estate: Private Equity Fund: Infrastructure ratio of 4:4:2 & Domestic: Foreign ratio of 5:5) |
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