Effect of the trading of retail investors (robustness check)
| RTP1 | RTP2 | RTP3 | RTP4 | RTP5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A: VAR1 | |||||
| 1 (Low) | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.84* | 1.14** | 1.27*** |
| (1.30) | (1.49) | (1.71) | (2.47) | (2.61) | |
| 2 | 0.82* | 0.82 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.43** |
| (1.68) | (1.49) | (1.55) | (1.64) | (2.40) | |
| 3 | 1.28** | 0.80 | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.86 |
| (2.09) | (1.42) | (0.93) | (0.96) | (1.58) | |
| 4 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 1.50** |
| (1.12) | (0.71) | (0.69) | (0.73) | (2.00) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.39 | 0.46 | 0.11 | −1.17 | −0.98* |
| (−0.51) | (0.54) | (0.17) | (−1.56) | (−1.78) | |
| High-Low | −0.76 | −0.26 | −0.73 | −2.31*** | −2.22*** |
| (−1.11) | (−0.44) | (−1.19) | (−3.51) | (−4.55) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.85 | −0.59 | −1.03* | −2.57*** | −2.47*** |
| (−1.35) | (−1.14) | (−1.65) | (−3.92) | (−4.79) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.05 | −0.75 | −0.53 | −2.50*** | −2.04*** |
| (−1.31) | (−1.22) | (−0.89) | (−3.54) | (−3.67) | |
| Panel B: VAR5 | |||||
| 1 (Low) | 0.59 | 0.83 | 1.06** | 1.23** | 1.37*** |
| (1.46) | (1.61) | (2.11) | (2.50) | (2.83) | |
| 2 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 1.65** | 0.95 |
| (1.64) | (1.39) | (1.28) | (2.07) | (1.50) | |
| 3 | 1.07** | 1.13* | 0.70 | 0.64 | 1.80*** |
| (2.08) | (1.84) | (1.12) | (1.02) | (2.63) | |
| 4 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.76 |
| (0.95) | (0.69) | (0.73) | (0.48) | (1.30) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.61 | 0.53 | 0.23 | −1.24** | −1.00* |
| (−0.64) | (0.72) | (0.36) | (−2.13) | (−1.75) | |
| High-Low | −1.13 | −0.30 | −0.83 | −2.47*** | −2.37*** |
| (−1.21) | (−0.60) | (−1.63) | (−5.20) | (−5.07) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −1.16 | −0.65 | −1.27** | −2.70*** | −2.58*** |
| (−1.29) | (−1.31) | (−2.42) | (−5.52) | (−5.13) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.23 | −0.37 | −0.82 | −2.67*** | −2.51*** |
| (−1.13) | (−0.82) | (−1.64) | (−5.19) | (−4.81) | |
| Panel C: ES1 | |||||
| 1 (Low) | 0.51 | 0.88* | 0.85 | 1.21** | 1.17** |
| (1.24) | (1.76) | (1.53) | (2.42) | (2.01) | |
| 2 | 0.94* | 0.57 | 1.10* | 1.25 | 1.38*** |
| (1.75) | (1.11) | (1.67) | (1.29) | (2.87) | |
| 3 | 1.05* | 0.92 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.84 |
| (1.79) | (1.53) | (0.83) | (0.78) | (1.45) | |
| 4 | 0.61 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 1.33* |
| (0.87) | (0.79) | (0.26) | (0.53) | (1.95) | |
| 5 (High) | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.41 | −1.10 | −0.84 |
| (0.03) | (0.06) | (0.64) | (−1.46) | (−1.47) | |
| High-Low | −0.52 | −0.83 | −0.43 | −2.30*** | −2.02*** |
| (−0.77) | (−1.51) | (−0.72) | (−3.42) | (−3.68) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.59 | −1.13** | −0.74 | −2.55*** | −2.23*** |
| (−0.92) | (−2.29) | (−1.18) | (−3.69) | (−3.94) | |
| FF3-alpha | −0.99 | −1.35** | −0.32 | −2.47*** | −1.85*** |
| (−1.29) | (−2.14) | (−0.54) | (−3.37) | (−3.40) | |
| Panel D: ES5 | |||||
| 1 (Low) | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.66 | 1.31*** | 1.39*** |
| (1.38) | (1.50) | (1.33) | (2.83) | (2.75) | |
| 2 | 0.95* | 1.04* | 1.00 | 1.78** | 1.37*** |
| (1.83) | (1.85) | (1.58) | (2.13) | (2.78) | |
| 3 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.53 | 0.40 | 1.09* |
| (1.43) | (1.34) | (0.87) | (0.56) | (1.81) | |
| 4 | 0.97* | 0.62 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 1.13 |
| (1.69) | (1.07) | (0.51) | (0.50) | (1.63) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.66 | −0.02 | 0.51 | −1.08* | −0.84 |
| (−0.59) | (−0.03) | (0.73) | (−1.73) | (−1.50) | |
| High-Low | −1.07 | −0.80* | −0.16 | −2.40*** | −2.29*** |
| (−0.99) | (−1.74) | (−0.27) | (−4.13) | (−4.61) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −1.12 | −1.05** | −0.54 | −2.62*** | −2.47*** |
| (−1.07) | (−2.31) | (−0.89) | (−4.39) | (−4.63) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.27 | −0.82* | −0.03 | −2.52*** | −2.19*** |
| (−1.10) | (−1.66) | (−0.05) | (−3.84) | (−3.75) | |
| Panel E: SEMI-V | |||||
| 1 (Low) | 0.58 | 0.81* | 0.86 | 1.06** | 1.48** |
| (1.37) | (1.68) | (1.51) | (2.08) | (2.37) | |
| 2 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 1.29 | 1.53*** |
| (1.40) | (1.61) | (1.47) | (1.46) | (2.75) | |
| 3 | 1.22** | 1.09* | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.98 |
| (2.49) | (1.66) | (0.95) | (1.04) | (1.53) | |
| 4 | 0.55 | 0.72 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 1.32* |
| (1.00) | (1.10) | (0.54) | (0.32) | (1.92) | |
| 5 (High) | 0.33 | −0.67 | 0.47 | −1.18* | −0.84 |
| (0.33) | (−0.83) | (0.78) | (−1.82) | (−1.47) | |
| High-Low | −0.19 | −1.46** | −0.39 | −2.24*** | −2.32*** |
| (−0.20) | (−2.29) | (−0.68) | (−3.85) | (−3.97) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.28 | −1.71*** | −0.75 | −2.43*** | −2.47*** |
| (−0.30) | (−2.81) | (−1.13) | (−4.09) | (−4.28) | |
| FF3-alpha | −0.67 | −1.50** | −0.30 | −2.37*** | −2.18*** |
| (−0.62) | (−2.17) | (−0.47) | (−3.78) | (−3.88) | |
| RTP1 | RTP2 | RTP3 | RTP4 | RTP5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (Low) | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.84* | 1.14** | 1.27*** |
| (1.30) | (1.49) | (1.71) | (2.47) | (2.61) | |
| 2 | 0.82* | 0.82 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.43** |
| (1.68) | (1.49) | (1.55) | (1.64) | (2.40) | |
| 3 | 1.28** | 0.80 | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.86 |
| (2.09) | (1.42) | (0.93) | (0.96) | (1.58) | |
| 4 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 1.50** |
| (1.12) | (0.71) | (0.69) | (0.73) | (2.00) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.39 | 0.46 | 0.11 | −1.17 | −0.98* |
| (−0.51) | (0.54) | (0.17) | (−1.56) | (−1.78) | |
| High-Low | −0.76 | −0.26 | −0.73 | −2.31*** | −2.22*** |
| (−1.11) | (−0.44) | (−1.19) | (−3.51) | (−4.55) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.85 | −0.59 | −1.03* | −2.57*** | −2.47*** |
| (−1.35) | (−1.14) | (−1.65) | (−3.92) | (−4.79) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.05 | −0.75 | −0.53 | −2.50*** | −2.04*** |
| (−1.31) | (−1.22) | (−0.89) | (−3.54) | (−3.67) | |
| 1 (Low) | 0.59 | 0.83 | 1.06** | 1.23** | 1.37*** |
| (1.46) | (1.61) | (2.11) | (2.50) | (2.83) | |
| 2 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 1.65** | 0.95 |
| (1.64) | (1.39) | (1.28) | (2.07) | (1.50) | |
| 3 | 1.07** | 1.13* | 0.70 | 0.64 | 1.80*** |
| (2.08) | (1.84) | (1.12) | (1.02) | (2.63) | |
| 4 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.76 |
| (0.95) | (0.69) | (0.73) | (0.48) | (1.30) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.61 | 0.53 | 0.23 | −1.24** | −1.00* |
| (−0.64) | (0.72) | (0.36) | (−2.13) | (−1.75) | |
| High-Low | −1.13 | −0.30 | −0.83 | −2.47*** | −2.37*** |
| (−1.21) | (−0.60) | (−1.63) | (−5.20) | (−5.07) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −1.16 | −0.65 | −1.27** | −2.70*** | −2.58*** |
| (−1.29) | (−1.31) | (−2.42) | (−5.52) | (−5.13) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.23 | −0.37 | −0.82 | −2.67*** | −2.51*** |
| (−1.13) | (−0.82) | (−1.64) | (−5.19) | (−4.81) | |
| 1 (Low) | 0.51 | 0.88* | 0.85 | 1.21** | 1.17** |
| (1.24) | (1.76) | (1.53) | (2.42) | (2.01) | |
| 2 | 0.94* | 0.57 | 1.10* | 1.25 | 1.38*** |
| (1.75) | (1.11) | (1.67) | (1.29) | (2.87) | |
| 3 | 1.05* | 0.92 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.84 |
| (1.79) | (1.53) | (0.83) | (0.78) | (1.45) | |
| 4 | 0.61 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 1.33* |
| (0.87) | (0.79) | (0.26) | (0.53) | (1.95) | |
| 5 (High) | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.41 | −1.10 | −0.84 |
| (0.03) | (0.06) | (0.64) | (−1.46) | (−1.47) | |
| High-Low | −0.52 | −0.83 | −0.43 | −2.30*** | −2.02*** |
| (−0.77) | (−1.51) | (−0.72) | (−3.42) | (−3.68) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.59 | −1.13** | −0.74 | −2.55*** | −2.23*** |
| (−0.92) | (−2.29) | (−1.18) | (−3.69) | (−3.94) | |
| FF3-alpha | −0.99 | −1.35** | −0.32 | −2.47*** | −1.85*** |
| (−1.29) | (−2.14) | (−0.54) | (−3.37) | (−3.40) | |
| 1 (Low) | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.66 | 1.31*** | 1.39*** |
| (1.38) | (1.50) | (1.33) | (2.83) | (2.75) | |
| 2 | 0.95* | 1.04* | 1.00 | 1.78** | 1.37*** |
| (1.83) | (1.85) | (1.58) | (2.13) | (2.78) | |
| 3 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.53 | 0.40 | 1.09* |
| (1.43) | (1.34) | (0.87) | (0.56) | (1.81) | |
| 4 | 0.97* | 0.62 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 1.13 |
| (1.69) | (1.07) | (0.51) | (0.50) | (1.63) | |
| 5 (High) | −0.66 | −0.02 | 0.51 | −1.08* | −0.84 |
| (−0.59) | (−0.03) | (0.73) | (−1.73) | (−1.50) | |
| High-Low | −1.07 | −0.80* | −0.16 | −2.40*** | −2.29*** |
| (−0.99) | (−1.74) | (−0.27) | (−4.13) | (−4.61) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −1.12 | −1.05** | −0.54 | −2.62*** | −2.47*** |
| (−1.07) | (−2.31) | (−0.89) | (−4.39) | (−4.63) | |
| FF3-alpha | −1.27 | −0.82* | −0.03 | −2.52*** | −2.19*** |
| (−1.10) | (−1.66) | (−0.05) | (−3.84) | (−3.75) | |
| 1 (Low) | 0.58 | 0.81* | 0.86 | 1.06** | 1.48** |
| (1.37) | (1.68) | (1.51) | (2.08) | (2.37) | |
| 2 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 1.29 | 1.53*** |
| (1.40) | (1.61) | (1.47) | (1.46) | (2.75) | |
| 3 | 1.22** | 1.09* | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.98 |
| (2.49) | (1.66) | (0.95) | (1.04) | (1.53) | |
| 4 | 0.55 | 0.72 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 1.32* |
| (1.00) | (1.10) | (0.54) | (0.32) | (1.92) | |
| 5 (High) | 0.33 | −0.67 | 0.47 | −1.18* | −0.84 |
| (0.33) | (−0.83) | (0.78) | (−1.82) | (−1.47) | |
| High-Low | −0.19 | −1.46** | −0.39 | −2.24*** | −2.32*** |
| (−0.20) | (−2.29) | (−0.68) | (−3.85) | (−3.97) | |
| CAPM-alpha | −0.28 | −1.71*** | −0.75 | −2.43*** | −2.47*** |
| (−0.30) | (−2.81) | (−1.13) | (−4.09) | (−4.28) | |
| FF3-alpha | −0.67 | −1.50** | −0.30 | −2.37*** | −2.18*** |
| (−0.62) | (−2.17) | (−0.47) | (−3.78) | (−3.88) | |
Note(s): We define retail trading proportion (RTP) as the ratio of individuals' trading dollar volume to the total trading dollar volume, following the approach of Han and Kumar (2013). The RTP was computed for each stock on a monthly basis by accumulating the daily volumes. Panels A–E present the value-weighted returns for 25 portfolios computed by sorting stocks based on the RTP and left-tail risk measures (VAR1, VAR5, ES1, ES5 and SEMI-V). The t-statistics are shown in parentheses. ***, ** and * indicate the 1%, 5% and 10% statistical significance, respectively
Source(s): Created by authors
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