Table 7

NPS's investment strategy III

Trading amountInternalExternal
LowMiddleHighLowMiddleHigh
VariableCoeffCoeffCoeffCoeffCoeffCoeff
t-valt-valt-valt-valt-valt-val
Return(t-1)−0.1449−3.7154−2.1214−0.26170.4139−0.8324
−0.04−3.06***−4.60***−0.300.70−3.15***
Return(t-2)0.79311.77340.38471.1665−1.07600.3597
0.251.490.821.44−1.87*1.35
Return(t-3)−3.42551.4253−0.42770.2937−1.03570.5867
−1.081.26−0.910.37−1.88*2.19**
Return(t-4)−1.22941.0039−0.4525−0.2931−0.15290.2015
−0.370.89−0.97−0.35−0.280.75
Return(t-5)−1.08281.3173−0.1447−0.58120.7199−0.1419
−0.341.23−0.31−0.721.38−0.53
Return(t-6)−2.6690−1.0910−0.19770.93950.94850.1063
−0.81−1.02−0.431.141.83*0.40
Return(t-7)8.09861.1289−0.5448−1.2073−0.7158−0.4952
2.53**1.04−1.16−1.49−1.36−1.84
Return(t-8)−0.40171.1214−0.9037−0.47110.1725−0.2231
−0.131.05−1.93*−0.620.33−0.83
Return(t-9)−5.2070−1.5256−2.00381.2187−0.0546−0.5588
−1.84*−1.45−4.27***1.72*−0.11−2.08**
Return(t-10)5.0740−0.6356−0.4013−1.8621−1.5942−0.2895
1.72*−0.61−0.87−2.55**−3.16***−1.09
Adj R-Sq0.20520.18880.17430.95580.85160.8248

Note(s):

NIFi,t=a0+m=110β1,t-mReturni,t-m+m=110β2,t-mNIFi,t-m+εi,t

NIFi,t is the daily net investment indicator of the NPS, and Returni,t is the daily rate of return of a specific stock on a specific day. The stocks are divided into three groups based on market capitalization. *, ** and *** indicate statistically significant values at the 10%, 5% and 1% levels, respectively

Source(s): Table by authors

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