NPS's investment strategy III
| Trading amount | Internal | External | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | Middle | High | Low | Middle | High | |
| Variable | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff |
| t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | |
| Return(t-1) | −0.1449 | −3.7154 | −2.1214 | −0.2617 | 0.4139 | −0.8324 |
| −0.04 | −3.06*** | −4.60*** | −0.30 | 0.70 | −3.15*** | |
| Return(t-2) | 0.7931 | 1.7734 | 0.3847 | 1.1665 | −1.0760 | 0.3597 |
| 0.25 | 1.49 | 0.82 | 1.44 | −1.87* | 1.35 | |
| Return(t-3) | −3.4255 | 1.4253 | −0.4277 | 0.2937 | −1.0357 | 0.5867 |
| −1.08 | 1.26 | −0.91 | 0.37 | −1.88* | 2.19** | |
| Return(t-4) | −1.2294 | 1.0039 | −0.4525 | −0.2931 | −0.1529 | 0.2015 |
| −0.37 | 0.89 | −0.97 | −0.35 | −0.28 | 0.75 | |
| Return(t-5) | −1.0828 | 1.3173 | −0.1447 | −0.5812 | 0.7199 | −0.1419 |
| −0.34 | 1.23 | −0.31 | −0.72 | 1.38 | −0.53 | |
| Return(t-6) | −2.6690 | −1.0910 | −0.1977 | 0.9395 | 0.9485 | 0.1063 |
| −0.81 | −1.02 | −0.43 | 1.14 | 1.83* | 0.40 | |
| Return(t-7) | 8.0986 | 1.1289 | −0.5448 | −1.2073 | −0.7158 | −0.4952 |
| 2.53** | 1.04 | −1.16 | −1.49 | −1.36 | −1.84 | |
| Return(t-8) | −0.4017 | 1.1214 | −0.9037 | −0.4711 | 0.1725 | −0.2231 |
| −0.13 | 1.05 | −1.93* | −0.62 | 0.33 | −0.83 | |
| Return(t-9) | −5.2070 | −1.5256 | −2.0038 | 1.2187 | −0.0546 | −0.5588 |
| −1.84* | −1.45 | −4.27*** | 1.72* | −0.11 | −2.08** | |
| Return(t-10) | 5.0740 | −0.6356 | −0.4013 | −1.8621 | −1.5942 | −0.2895 |
| 1.72* | −0.61 | −0.87 | −2.55** | −3.16*** | −1.09 | |
| Adj R-Sq | 0.2052 | 0.1888 | 0.1743 | 0.9558 | 0.8516 | 0.8248 |
| Trading amount | Internal | External | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | Middle | High | Low | Middle | High | |
| Variable | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff | Coeff |
| t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | t-val | |
| Return(t-1) | −0.1449 | −3.7154 | −2.1214 | −0.2617 | 0.4139 | −0.8324 |
| −0.04 | −3.06*** | −4.60*** | −0.30 | 0.70 | −3.15*** | |
| Return(t-2) | 0.7931 | 1.7734 | 0.3847 | 1.1665 | −1.0760 | 0.3597 |
| 0.25 | 1.49 | 0.82 | 1.44 | −1.87* | 1.35 | |
| Return(t-3) | −3.4255 | 1.4253 | −0.4277 | 0.2937 | −1.0357 | 0.5867 |
| −1.08 | 1.26 | −0.91 | 0.37 | −1.88* | 2.19** | |
| Return(t-4) | −1.2294 | 1.0039 | −0.4525 | −0.2931 | −0.1529 | 0.2015 |
| −0.37 | 0.89 | −0.97 | −0.35 | −0.28 | 0.75 | |
| Return(t-5) | −1.0828 | 1.3173 | −0.1447 | −0.5812 | 0.7199 | −0.1419 |
| −0.34 | 1.23 | −0.31 | −0.72 | 1.38 | −0.53 | |
| Return(t-6) | −2.6690 | −1.0910 | −0.1977 | 0.9395 | 0.9485 | 0.1063 |
| −0.81 | −1.02 | −0.43 | 1.14 | 1.83* | 0.40 | |
| Return(t-7) | 8.0986 | 1.1289 | −0.5448 | −1.2073 | −0.7158 | −0.4952 |
| 2.53** | 1.04 | −1.16 | −1.49 | −1.36 | −1.84 | |
| Return(t-8) | −0.4017 | 1.1214 | −0.9037 | −0.4711 | 0.1725 | −0.2231 |
| −0.13 | 1.05 | −1.93* | −0.62 | 0.33 | −0.83 | |
| Return(t-9) | −5.2070 | −1.5256 | −2.0038 | 1.2187 | −0.0546 | −0.5588 |
| −1.84* | −1.45 | −4.27*** | 1.72* | −0.11 | −2.08** | |
| Return(t-10) | 5.0740 | −0.6356 | −0.4013 | −1.8621 | −1.5942 | −0.2895 |
| 1.72* | −0.61 | −0.87 | −2.55** | −3.16*** | −1.09 | |
| Adj R-Sq | 0.2052 | 0.1888 | 0.1743 | 0.9558 | 0.8516 | 0.8248 |
Note(s):
is the daily net investment indicator of the NPS, and is the daily rate of return of a specific stock on a specific day. The stocks are divided into three groups based on market capitalization. *, ** and *** indicate statistically significant values at the 10%, 5% and 1% levels, respectively
Source(s): Table by authors