Table 2

Regression results from descriptive and predictive models of ARET, regress on AGSV, AWiki and other control variables. Columns (1)–(6) report results from a single regression models to explain the various independent variables. Columns (6) corresponds to multiple explanatory regressions model. Columns (7)–(11) display the corresponding results for predictive models

Dependent variable: ARET
Explanatory modelsPredictive models
Variables(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)Variables(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)
ARETt−10.404*** [0.071]    0.302*** [0.699]ARETt−1    0.299*** [0.066]
AGSV 0.004*** [0.001]   0.001 [0.001]AGSVt−10.002 [0.002]   −0.001 [0.001]
Awiki  −0.007*** [0.001]  −0.004*** [0.001]Awikit−1 −0.008*** [0.001]  −0.006*** [0.002]
ATVOL   −0.001 [0.001] 0.0008 [0.001]ATVOLt−1  −0.001 [0.001] −0.001*** [0.001]
Volatility    0.930** [0.428]−0.046 [0.624]Volatilityt−1   1.220*** [0.393]0.511 [0.612]
Constant−0.009*** [0.001]−0.012** * [0.001]−0.015*** [0.001]−0.015** * [0.001]−0.027** [0.005]−0.004 [0.008]Constant−0.013*** [0.01]−0.015*** [0.001]−0.015*** [0.001]−0.0317*** [0.005]−0.0182** [0.008]
R-Squaied0.1650.0340.0990.0010.0190.182R-Squared0.0080.1200.0040.0330.206
Adjust. R20.1610.0290.094−0.0020.0150.161Adjust. R20.0030.1160.00020.0290.187
Durbin-W2.0761.2761.4611.1971.2351.986Durbin-W1.2771.4241.1821.2341.996

Note(s): 1. The symbols ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively, 2. White heteroscedasticity-consistent (Eicker-Wliite) standard errors and covariances are applied to all of the models (1)–(11)

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