Regression results from descriptive and predictive models of ARET, regress on AGSV, AWiki and other control variables. Columns (1)–(6) report results from a single regression models to explain the various independent variables. Columns (6) corresponds to multiple explanatory regressions model. Columns (7)–(11) display the corresponding results for predictive models
| Dependent variable: ARET | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| ARETt−1 | 0.404*** [0.071] | 0.302*** [0.699] | ARETt−1 | 0.299*** [0.066] | ||||||||
| AGSV | 0.004*** [0.001] | 0.001 [0.001] | AGSVt−1 | 0.002 [0.002] | −0.001 [0.001] | |||||||
| Awiki | −0.007*** [0.001] | −0.004*** [0.001] | Awikit−1 | −0.008*** [0.001] | −0.006*** [0.002] | |||||||
| ATVOL | −0.001 [0.001] | 0.0008 [0.001] | ATVOLt−1 | −0.001 [0.001] | −0.001*** [0.001] | |||||||
| Volatility | 0.930** [0.428] | −0.046 [0.624] | Volatilityt−1 | 1.220*** [0.393] | 0.511 [0.612] | |||||||
| Constant | −0.009*** [0.001] | −0.012** * [0.001] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.015** * [0.001] | −0.027** [0.005] | −0.004 [0.008] | Constant | −0.013*** [0.01] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.0317*** [0.005] | −0.0182** [0.008] |
| R-Squaied | 0.165 | 0.034 | 0.099 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.182 | R-Squared | 0.008 | 0.120 | 0.004 | 0.033 | 0.206 |
| Adjust. R2 | 0.161 | 0.029 | 0.094 | −0.002 | 0.015 | 0.161 | Adjust. R2 | 0.003 | 0.116 | 0.0002 | 0.029 | 0.187 |
| Durbin-W | 2.076 | 1.276 | 1.461 | 1.197 | 1.235 | 1.986 | Durbin-W | 1.277 | 1.424 | 1.182 | 1.234 | 1.996 |
| Dependent variable: ARET | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| ARET | 0.404*** [0.071] | 0.302*** [0.699] | ARET | 0.299*** [0.066] | ||||||||
| AGSV | 0.004*** [0.001] | 0.001 [0.001] | AGSV | 0.002 [0.002] | −0.001 [0.001] | |||||||
| Awiki | −0.007*** [0.001] | −0.004*** [0.001] | Awiki | −0.008*** [0.001] | −0.006*** [0.002] | |||||||
| ATVOL | −0.001 [0.001] | 0.0008 [0.001] | ATVOL | −0.001 [0.001] | −0.001*** [0.001] | |||||||
| Volatility | 0.930** [0.428] | −0.046 [0.624] | Volatility | 1.220*** [0.393] | 0.511 [0.612] | |||||||
| Constant | −0.009*** [0.001] | −0.012** * [0.001] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.015** * [0.001] | −0.027** [0.005] | −0.004 [0.008] | Constant | −0.013*** [0.01] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.015*** [0.001] | −0.0317*** [0.005] | −0.0182** [0.008] |
| 0.165 | 0.034 | 0.099 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.182 | 0.008 | 0.120 | 0.004 | 0.033 | 0.206 | ||
| Adjust. | 0.161 | 0.029 | 0.094 | −0.002 | 0.015 | 0.161 | Adjust. | 0.003 | 0.116 | 0.0002 | 0.029 | 0.187 |
| Durbin-W | 2.076 | 1.276 | 1.461 | 1.197 | 1.235 | 1.986 | Durbin-W | 1.277 | 1.424 | 1.182 | 1.234 | 1.996 |
Note(s): 1. The symbols ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively, 2. White heteroscedasticity-consistent (Eicker-Wliite) standard errors and covariances are applied to all of the models (1)–(11)
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