Regression results from descriptive and predictive models of ATVOL, regress on AGSV, Awiki and other control variables. Columns (1)–(6) report results from a single regression models to explain the various independent variables. Columns (6) corresponds to multiple explanatory regressions model. Columns (7)–(11) display the corresponding results for predictive models
| Dependent variable: ATYOL | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| ATVOLt−1 | 0.334*** [0.068] | 0.397*** [0.080] | 0.380*** [0.083] | 0.375*** [0.076] | 0.270*** [0.054] | 0.242*** [0.061] | ATVOLt−1 | 0.397*** [0.081] | 0.379*** [0.081] | 0.369*** [0.072] | 0.362*** [0.075] | 0.456*** [0.107] |
| AGSV | −0.039*** [0.097] | 0.009 [0.049] | AGSVt−1 | −0.089 [0.062] | −0.047 [0.063] | |||||||
| Awiki | 0.073 [0.062] | 0.108*** [0.057] | Awikit−1 | 0.103 [0.061] | 0.011 [0.066] | |||||||
| ARET | −1.176 [2.622] | −0.640 [2.697] | ARETt−1 | −7.141** [2.252] | −8.388*** [2.607] | |||||||
| Volatility | 107.797*** [15.591] | 180.085*** [21.708] | Volatilityt−1 | −17.373* [17.065] | −147.160** [27.538] | |||||||
| Constant | −0.022*** [0.055] | −0.009*** [0.089] | 0.016*** [0.069] | −0.052*** [0.076] | −1.349*** [0.191] | −2.460 [0.298] | Constant | −0.007*** [0.062] | 0.028*** [0.070] | −0.145*** [0.056] | 0.192 [0.229] | 0.541 [0.399] |
| R-Squared | 0.111 | 0.159 | 0.162 | 0.144 | 0.267 | 0.422 | R-Squared | 0.165 | 0.168 | 0.175 | 0.114 | 0.216 |
| Adjust. R2 | 0.108 | 0.151 | 0.154 | 0.137 | 0.262 | 0.407 | Adjust. R2 | 0.157 | 0.160 | 0.166 | 0.108 | 0.197 |
| Durbin-W | 1.994 | 1.980 | 1.972 | 1.992 | 1.772 | 1.827 | Durbin-W | 1.981 | 1.985 | 1.982 | 1.995 | 1.992 |
| Dependent variable: ATYOL | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| ATVOL | 0.334*** | 0.397*** | 0.380*** | 0.375*** | 0.270*** | 0.242*** | ATVOL | 0.397*** | 0.379*** | 0.369*** | 0.362*** | 0.456*** |
| AGSV | −0.039*** [0.097] | 0.009 [0.049] | AGSV | −0.089 [0.062] | −0.047 [0.063] | |||||||
| Awiki | 0.073 [0.062] | 0.108*** [0.057] | Awiki | 0.103 [0.061] | 0.011 [0.066] | |||||||
| ARET | −1.176 [2.622] | −0.640 [2.697] | ARET | −7.141** [2.252] | −8.388*** [2.607] | |||||||
| Volatility | 107.797*** [15.591] | 180.085*** [21.708] | Volatility | −17.373* [17.065] | −147.160** [27.538] | |||||||
| Constant | −0.022*** | −0.009*** | 0.016*** | −0.052*** | −1.349*** | −2.460 | Constant | −0.007*** [0.062] | 0.028*** | −0.145*** | 0.192 | 0.541 |
| 0.111 | 0.159 | 0.162 | 0.144 | 0.267 | 0.422 | 0.165 | 0.168 | 0.175 | 0.114 | 0.216 | ||
| Adjust. | 0.108 | 0.151 | 0.154 | 0.137 | 0.262 | 0.407 | Adjust. | 0.157 | 0.160 | 0.166 | 0.108 | 0.197 |
| Durbin-W | 1.994 | 1.980 | 1.972 | 1.992 | 1.772 | 1.827 | Durbin-W | 1.981 | 1.985 | 1.982 | 1.995 | 1.992 |
Note(s): 1. The symbols ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively, 2. White heteroscedasticity-consistent (Eicker-White) standard errors and covariances are applied to all of the models (1)–(11)
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