Regression results from descriptive and predictive models of Volatility, regressed on AGSV, AWiki and other control variables. Columns (1)–(6) report results from a single regression models to explain the various independent variables. Columns (6) corresponds to multiple explanatory regressions model. Columns (7)–(11) display the corresponding results for predictive model
| Dependent variable: Volatility | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| Volatilityt−1 | 0.509*** [0.049] | 0.204*** [0.067] | 0.203*** [0.068] | 0.417*** [0.060] | 0.417*** [0.045] | 0.135*** [0.053] | Volatilityt−1 | 0.202*** [0.068] | 0.202*** [0.067] | 0.425*** [0.059] | 0.545*** [0.056] | 0.081* [0.083] |
| AGSV | −0.00008 [0.000] | −0.0001 [0.000] | AGSVt−1 | 0.0001 [0.000] | 0.0001 [0.000] | |||||||
| Awiki | −0.00007 [0.000] | −0.0004** [0.000] | Awikit−1 | −0.00005 [0.000] | −0.0002 [0.000] | |||||||
| ARET | 0.007 [0.009] | −0.004 [0.008] | ARETt−1 | 0.009** [0.009] | −0.008 [0.009] | |||||||
| ATVOL | 0.001*** [0.000] | 0.001*** [0.000] | ATVOLt−1 | −0.0003 [0.000] | 0.0006** [0.000] | |||||||
| Constant | 0.006*** [0.000] | 0.011*** [0.000] | 0.011 [0.000] | 0.007 [0.000] | 0.006*** [0.00] | 0.011 [0.000] | Constant | 0.011*** [0.000] | 0.011*** [0.00] | 0.007*** [0.000] | 0.005*** [0.00] | 0.012*** [0.001] |
| R-Squared | 0.256 | 0.042 | 0.042 | 0.186 | 0.413 | 0.372 | R-Squared | 0.044 | 0.042 | 0.192 | 0.261 | 0.073 |
| Adjust. R2 | 0.253 | 0.032 | 0.033 | 0.179 | 0.409 | 0.356 | Adjust. R2 | 0.034 | 0.032 | 0.185 | 0.256 | 0.051 |
| Durbin-W | 2.106 | 1.927 | 1.930 | 2.057 | 1.927 | 1.866 | Durbin-W | 1.932 | 1.934 | 2.057 | 2.114 | 1.906 |
| Dependent variable: Volatility | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanatory models | Predictive models | |||||||||||
| Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | Variables | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) |
| Volatility | 0.509*** | 0.204*** | 0.203*** | 0.417*** | 0.417*** | 0.135*** | Volatility | 0.202*** [0.068] | 0.202*** | 0.425*** | 0.545*** | 0.081* |
| AGSV | −0.00008 | −0.0001 | AGSV | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | |||||||
| Awiki | −0.00007 [0.000] | −0.0004** [0.000] | Awiki | −0.00005 [0.000] | −0.0002 [0.000] | |||||||
| ARET | 0.007 | −0.004 | ARET | 0.009** | −0.008 | |||||||
| ATVOL | 0.001*** [0.000] | 0.001*** [0.000] | ATVOL | −0.0003 [0.000] | 0.0006** [0.000] | |||||||
| Constant | 0.006*** [0.000] | 0.011*** [0.000] | 0.011 [0.000] | 0.007 [0.000] | 0.006*** [0.00] | 0.011 [0.000] | Constant | 0.011*** [0.000] | 0.011*** [0.00] | 0.007*** [0.000] | 0.005*** [0.00] | 0.012*** [0.001] |
| 0.256 | 0.042 | 0.042 | 0.186 | 0.413 | 0.372 | 0.044 | 0.042 | 0.192 | 0.261 | 0.073 | ||
| Adjust. | 0.253 | 0.032 | 0.033 | 0.179 | 0.409 | 0.356 | Adjust. | 0.034 | 0.032 | 0.185 | 0.256 | 0.051 |
| Durbin-W | 2.106 | 1.927 | 1.930 | 2.057 | 1.927 | 1.866 | Durbin-W | 1.932 | 1.934 | 2.057 | 2.114 | 1.906 |
Note(s): 1. The symbols ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively, 2. White heteroscedasticity-consistent (Eicker-White) standard errors and covariances are applied to all of the models (1)–(11)
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