Table 4

Regression results from descriptive and predictive models of Volatility, regressed on AGSV, AWiki and other control variables. Columns (1)–(6) report results from a single regression models to explain the various independent variables. Columns (6) corresponds to multiple explanatory regressions model. Columns (7)–(11) display the corresponding results for predictive model

Dependent variable: Volatility
Explanatory modelsPredictive models
Variables(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)Variables(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)
Volatilityt−10.509***
[0.049]
0.204***
[0.067]
0.203***
[0.068]
0.417***
[0.060]
0.417***
[0.045]
0.135***
[0.053]
Volatilityt−10.202*** [0.068]0.202***
[0.067]
0.425***
[0.059]
0.545***
[0.056]
0.081*
[0.083]
AGSV −0.00008
[0.000]
   −0.0001
[0.000]
AGSVt−10.0001
[0.000]
   0.0001
[0.000]
Awiki  −0.00007 [0.000]  −0.0004** [0.000]Awikit−1 −0.00005 [0.000]  −0.0002 [0.000]
ARET   0.007
[0.009]
 −0.004
[0.008]
ARETt−1  0.009**
[0.009]
 −0.008
[0.009]
 
ATVOL    0.001*** [0.000]0.001*** [0.000]ATVOLt−1   −0.0003 [0.000]0.0006** [0.000]
Constant0.006*** [0.000]0.011*** [0.000]0.011 [0.000]0.007 [0.000]0.006*** [0.00]0.011 [0.000]Constant0.011*** [0.000]0.011*** [0.00]0.007*** [0.000]0.005*** [0.00]0.012*** [0.001]
R-Squared0.2560.0420.0420.1860.4130.372R-Squared0.0440.0420.1920.2610.073
Adjust. R20.2530.0320.0330.1790.4090.356Adjust. R20.0340.0320.1850.2560.051
Durbin-W2.1061.9271.9302.0571.9271.866Durbin-W1.9321.9342.0572.1141.906

Note(s): 1. The symbols ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively, 2. White heteroscedasticity-consistent (Eicker-White) standard errors and covariances are applied to all of the models (1)–(11)

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