Estimation results on impact of world oil price on macroeconomic variables
| Variable | Domestic oil price model | Inflation model | Output growth model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
| C | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001*** | 0.002** | −0.044 | 0.015*** |
| GDP(–1) | 2.233 | 0.846*** | ||||
| GDP(–2) | −0.420 | −0.179 | ||||
| CPI(–1) | 0.554*** | 0.451*** | ||||
| CPI(–2) | −0.039 | 0.190** | ||||
| VOP(–1) | 0.574*** | 0.068** | ||||
| VOP(–2) | 0.004 | −0.032 | ||||
| OPP | 6.564*** | 2.651*** | 0.373** | 0.073** | −2.333 | 0.190*** |
| 3.893** | 0.982*** | 8.551*** | 17.323*** | 0.947*** | 0.156 | |
| 1.004*** | 0.981*** | 1.024*** | 19.998*** | 0.981*** | 1.170 | |
| OPN | 6.001*** | 2.361*** | 0.364** | 0.133** | −1.496 | −0.211** |
| 1.627* | 3.545*** | 3.434* | 0.975*** | 0.965*** | 0.969*** | |
| 0.989*** | 5.723*** | 12.199* | 1.013*** | 0.974*** | 0.941*** | |
| Adj. R2 | 0.721 | 0.608 | 0.800 | 0.475 | 0.823 | 0.700 |
| Variable | Domestic oil price model | Inflation model | Output growth model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
| −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001*** | 0.002** | −0.044 | 0.015*** | |
| GDP(–1) | 2.233 | 0.846*** | ||||
| GDP(–2) | −0.420 | −0.179 | ||||
| CPI(–1) | 0.554*** | 0.451*** | ||||
| CPI(–2) | −0.039 | 0.190** | ||||
| VOP(–1) | 0.574*** | 0.068** | ||||
| VOP(–2) | 0.004 | −0.032 | ||||
| OPP | 6.564*** | 2.651*** | 0.373** | 0.073** | −2.333 | 0.190*** |
| 3.893** | 0.982*** | 8.551*** | 17.323*** | 0.947*** | 0.156 | |
| 1.004*** | 0.981*** | 1.024*** | 19.998*** | 0.981*** | 1.170 | |
| OPN | 6.001*** | 2.361*** | 0.364** | 0.133** | −1.496 | −0.211** |
| 1.627* | 3.545*** | 3.434* | 0.975*** | 0.965*** | 0.969*** | |
| 0.989*** | 5.723*** | 12.199* | 1.013*** | 0.974*** | 0.941*** | |
| Adj. | 0.721 | 0.608 | 0.800 | 0.475 | 0.823 | 0.700 |
Note(s): ***, ** and * denote significant level at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively
Source(s): Authors