Pairwise Granger causality tests
| Null hypothesis | Lag: 1 | Lag: 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-statistic | Prob | F-statistic | Prob | |
| POLITY2 does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 3.72722 | 0.0614* | 12.508 | 0.00009*** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause POLITY2 | 0.04486 | 0.8335 | 0.35746 | 0.7021 |
| MPV does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 11.2268 | 0.0019*** | 3.95313 | 0.0289** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause MPV | 0.13986 | 0.7106 | 0.11238 | 0.894 |
| DEA does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 8.98516 | 0.0049*** | 3.40766 | 0.0451** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause DEA | 5.491 | 0.0248** | 3.68685 | 0.0359** |
| Null hypothesis | Lag: 1 | Lag: 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prob | Prob | |||
| POLITY2 does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 3.72722 | 0.0614* | 12.508 | 0.00009*** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause POLITY2 | 0.04486 | 0.8335 | 0.35746 | 0.7021 |
| MPV does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 11.2268 | 0.0019*** | 3.95313 | 0.0289** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause MPV | 0.13986 | 0.7106 | 0.11238 | 0.894 |
| DEA does not Granger Cause LNGPDC5 | 8.98516 | 0.0049*** | 3.40766 | 0.0451** |
| LNGPDC5 does not Granger Cause DEA | 5.491 | 0.0248** | 3.68685 | 0.0359** |
Source(s): Author's estimation using Eviews 11
Note(s): The asterisks ***, ** and * sign indicates the significance of the F-test at 1%, 5% and 10% significant level respectively
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