List of variables
| Variable | Description | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ABSP | Real private absorption | NAS CSO,GOI |
| DEPAG | Real depreciation in agriculture, forestry and fishing (Industry Group 1 of NAS), called “agriculture” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI |
| DEPINF | Real depreciation in infrastructure includes electricity, gas and water supply; construction; transport, storage and communication (Industry Groups 4, 5 and 7 of NAS), called “infrastructure” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI |
| DEPMN | Real depreciation in manufacturing includes mining and quarrying (Industry Groups 2 and 3 of NAS), called “manufacturing” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI |
| DEPSR | Real depreciation in services includes all others (Industry Groups 6, 8 and 9 of NAS), called “services” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI |
| DT | Direct tax revenue | NAS CSO,GOI |
| GXP | Govt. total expenditure combined centre and state | NAS CSO,GOI |
| CONS | Govt. final consumption expenditure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| IDT | Indirect tax revenues | NAS CSO,GOI |
| KAGR | Real net capital stock in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI |
| KINFR | Real net capital stock in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| KMNR | Real net capital stock in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI |
| KSRR | Real net capital stock in services | NAS CSO,GOI |
| NTX | Non-tax revenue (incl. income from entrepreneurship, property and miscellaneous current receipts) | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFTOTR | Real aggregate public investment | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFTOT | Aggregate public investment | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCR | Real private consumption | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PGDP | GDP deflator (2004-2005 = 100) | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PGKE | Implicit price deflator for public sector investment | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PIAGR | Real gross private investment in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PIINFR | Real gross private investment in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PIMNR | Real gross private investment in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PISRR | Real gross private investment in services | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PITOTR | Real aggregate private investment | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PNA | Price deflator for non-agriculture sector | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PPIE | Implicit price deflator for public sector investment | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PRAG | Price deflator for agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PRINF | Price deflator for infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PRMN | Price deflator for manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PRSR | Price deflator for services | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PYD | Personal disposable income | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PYDR | Real personal disposable income | NAS CSO,GOI |
| TR | Govt. current revenues combined | NAS CSO,GOI |
| Y | Aggregate output at factor cost | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YAR | Real output in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YINFR | Real output in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YM | GDP at market prices | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YMNR | Real output in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YNAR | Real output in non-agriculture sector | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YSRR | Real output in services | NAS CSO,GOI |
| YR | Real output at factor cost | NAS CSO,GOI |
| TP | Other transfer payments (including IPD, CTS, etc.) | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFAGR | Real gross public investment in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFINFR | Real gross public investment in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFMNR | Real gross public investment in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI |
| PCFSRR | Real gross public investment in services | NAS CSO,GOI |
| RFI | Percentage deviation between actual and normal rainfall | IITM |
| AD | Real aggregate absorption | NAS CSO,GOI |
| ADD | Real aggregate demand for domestically produced goods | NAS CSO,GOI |
| BCP | Bank credit to the commercial sector | RBI |
| CAB | Current account balance | RBI |
| EXT | Exports (merchandize) | RBI |
| EXTR | Real exports (DGCI and S) | RBI |
| GFD | Gross fiscal deficit of both central and state govt | RBI |
| IMP | Imports (merchandize) | RBI |
| IMPR | Real imports (DGCI and S) | RBI |
| NOIMP | Non-oil imports | RBI |
| OIMP | Oil imports | RBI |
| DOILP | Domestic oil price index (index of mineral oil in WPI basket (2004-2005=100) | OEA, GOI |
| OILPRATIO | Domestic oil price index upon world oil price index | Calculated |
| M3 | Money supply | RBI |
| RP | policy rate, bank rate up to 2000-2001 and repo rate after that | RBI |
| P | Wholesale price index (2004-2005 = 100) | OEA, GOI |
| INFL | Rate of inflation | Calculated |
| PLR | Prime lending rate | RBI |
| RBFA | Net foreign exchange assets of RBI | RBI |
| RCG | Reserve bank credit to the govt | RBI |
| RM | Reserve money | RBI |
| TB | Trade balance | RBI |
| CAB | Current account balance | RBI |
| UVEXP | Unit value of exports | RBI |
| AREA | Index of gross cropped area | RBI |
| BCG | Commercial bank credit to the government | RBI |
| CRR | Cash reserve ratio | RBI |
| DNB | Non-market borrowings of both central and state govts | RBI |
| EXR | Exchange rate of Indian rupee against US$ (Nominal, Rs./$) | RBI |
| EB | External borrowings by the govt | RBI |
| GCL | Government’s currency liabilities to the public | RBI |
| INVSB | Invisibles in a current account balance | RBI |
| MSP | Average of minimum support price of fair average quality | RBI |
| MISCR | Other capital receipts of the govt | RBI |
| NCIAB | Net capital inflows including a net capital account in the balance of payments and errors and omissions | RBI |
| NBCG | Net bank credit to the government | RBI |
| NFEAB | Net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector | RBI |
| NNMLB | Net non-monetary liabilities of the banking sector | RBI |
| RBCS | RBI credit to the commercial sector | RBI |
| RGCB | RBI's claim on banks | RBI |
| RNML | RBI's net non-monetary liabilities | RBI |
| UVIMP | Unit value of imports | RBI |
| WGDP | index number of world exports (2004-2005 = 100) | IMF |
| WOILP | World oil Price Index | WDI |
| D01 | Dummy for post-reform period | Authors calculated |
| D02 | Unusual increase in agriculture investment | Authors calculated |
| D03 | Unusual decrease in agriculture investment | Authors calculated |
| D04 | Irregular dummy for manufacturing (2007-2008) for a sharp increase | Authors calculated |
| D05 | Dummy crisis,1 for 2008-2009 and 0 for others | Authors calculated |
| D06 | Dummy for 1991-1992 for change in the structure of the direct tax | Authors calculated |
| D07 | Dummy for 1992-1993 and 1993-1994 for a sharp change in indirect tax rates | Authors calculated |
| D08 | Dummy representing a large depreciation of exchange rate of rupee in 1992-1993, 1 for that and 0 for others | Authors calculated |
| DYSRR | Outlier dummy in the service sector | Authors calculated |
| DEXP | Outlier dummy in exports | Authors calculated |
| DEXR | Outlier dummy in the exchange rate | Authors calculated |
| DNCIAB | Outlier dummy in a net capital account balance | Authors calculated |
| Variable | Description | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Real private absorption | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real depreciation in agriculture, forestry and fishing (Industry Group 1 of NAS), called “agriculture” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real depreciation in infrastructure includes electricity, gas and water supply; construction; transport, storage and communication (Industry Groups 4, 5 and 7 of NAS), called “infrastructure” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real depreciation in manufacturing includes mining and quarrying (Industry Groups 2 and 3 of NAS), called “manufacturing” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real depreciation in services includes all others (Industry Groups 6, 8 and 9 of NAS), called “services” for simplicity | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Direct tax revenue | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Govt. total expenditure combined centre and state | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Govt. final consumption expenditure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Indirect tax revenues | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real net capital stock in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real net capital stock in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real net capital stock in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real net capital stock in services | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Non-tax revenue (incl. income from entrepreneurship, property and miscellaneous current receipts) | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real aggregate public investment | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Aggregate public investment | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real private consumption | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| GDP deflator (2004-2005 = 100) | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Implicit price deflator for public sector investment | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross private investment in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross private investment in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross private investment in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross private investment in services | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real aggregate private investment | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Price deflator for non-agriculture sector | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Implicit price deflator for public sector investment | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Price deflator for agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Price deflator for infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Price deflator for manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Price deflator for services | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Personal disposable income | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real personal disposable income | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Govt. current revenues combined | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Aggregate output at factor cost | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| GDP at market prices | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output in non-agriculture sector | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output in services | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real output at factor cost | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Other transfer payments (including IPD, CTS, etc.) | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross public investment in agriculture | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross public investment in infrastructure | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross public investment in manufacturing | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real gross public investment in services | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Percentage deviation between actual and normal rainfall | IITM | |
| Real aggregate absorption | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Real aggregate demand for domestically produced goods | NAS CSO,GOI | |
| Bank credit to the commercial sector | RBI | |
| Current account balance | RBI | |
| Exports (merchandize) | RBI | |
| Real exports (DGCI and S) | RBI | |
| Gross fiscal deficit of both central and state govt | RBI | |
| Imports (merchandize) | RBI | |
| Real imports (DGCI and S) | RBI | |
| Non-oil imports | RBI | |
| Oil imports | RBI | |
| Domestic oil price index (index of mineral oil in WPI basket (2004-2005=100) | OEA, GOI | |
| Domestic oil price index upon world oil price index | Calculated | |
| Money supply | RBI | |
| policy rate, bank rate up to 2000-2001 and repo rate after that | RBI | |
| Wholesale price index (2004-2005 = 100) | OEA, GOI | |
| Rate of inflation | Calculated | |
| Prime lending rate | RBI | |
| Net foreign exchange assets of RBI | RBI | |
| Reserve bank credit to the govt | RBI | |
| Reserve money | RBI | |
| Trade balance | RBI | |
| Current account balance | RBI | |
| Unit value of exports | RBI | |
| Index of gross cropped area | RBI | |
| Commercial bank credit to the government | RBI | |
| Cash reserve ratio | RBI | |
| Non-market borrowings of both central and state govts | RBI | |
| Exchange rate of Indian rupee against US$ (Nominal, Rs./$) | RBI | |
| External borrowings by the govt | RBI | |
| Government’s currency liabilities to the public | RBI | |
| Invisibles in a current account balance | RBI | |
| Average of minimum support price of fair average quality | RBI | |
| Other capital receipts of the govt | RBI | |
| Net capital inflows including a net capital account in the balance of payments and errors and omissions | RBI | |
| Net bank credit to the government | RBI | |
| Net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector | RBI | |
| Net non-monetary liabilities of the banking sector | RBI | |
| RBI credit to the commercial sector | RBI | |
| RBI's claim on banks | RBI | |
| RBI's net non-monetary liabilities | RBI | |
| Unit value of imports | RBI | |
| index number of world exports (2004-2005 = 100) | IMF | |
| World oil Price Index | WDI | |
| Dummy for post-reform period | Authors calculated | |
| Unusual increase in agriculture investment | Authors calculated | |
| Unusual decrease in agriculture investment | Authors calculated | |
| Irregular dummy for manufacturing (2007-2008) for a sharp increase | Authors calculated | |
| Dummy crisis,1 for 2008-2009 and 0 for others | Authors calculated | |
| Dummy for 1991-1992 for change in the structure of the direct tax | Authors calculated | |
| Dummy for 1992-1993 and 1993-1994 for a sharp change in indirect tax rates | Authors calculated | |
| Dummy representing a large depreciation of exchange rate of rupee in 1992-1993, 1 for that and 0 for others | Authors calculated | |
| Outlier dummy in the service sector | Authors calculated | |
| Outlier dummy in exports | Authors calculated | |
| Outlier dummy in the exchange rate | Authors calculated | |
| Outlier dummy in a net capital account balance | Authors calculated |