Results Portfolio small-capitalization firms before, during and after the 2008–2009 financial crisis
| Variables | Before and during financial crisis June 1997–May 2010 | After financial crisis June 2010–January 2018 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High book value (SH) | Med book value (SM) | Low book value (SL) | High book value (SH) | Med book value (SM) | Low book value (SL) | ||||||||
| Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | ||
| C | −0.41 (0.37) | −0.74 (0.28) | −0.67 (0.13) | −0.21 (0.75) | −0.36 (0.42) | 0.92 (0.16) | −0.38 (0.24) | 2.14*** (0.06) | −0.72 (0.06) | −3.39** (0.02) | −0.72** (0.06) | 0.21 (0.85) | |
| Risk premium | 1.01* (0.00) | 1.03* (0.00) | 0.90* (0.00) | 0.87* (0.00) | 0.98* (0.00) | 0.88* (0.00) | 0.95* (0.00) | 1.12* (0.00) | 0.76* (0.00) | 0.55* (0.00) | 0.76* (0.00) | 1.04* (0.00) | |
| SMB | 1.34* (0.00) | 1.39* (0.00) | 0.74* (0.00) | 0.68* (0.00) | 0.66* (0.00) | 0.56* (0.00) | 1.09* (0.00) | 1.19* (0.00) | 0.80* (0.00) | 0.56* (0.00) | 0.80* (0.00) | 0.86* (0.00) | |
| HML | 0.42* (0.00) | 0.42* (0.00) | 0.13* (0.00) | 0.16* (0.00) | −0.25* (0.00) | −0.25* (0.00) | 0.31* (0.00) | 0.35* (0.00) | 0.15* (0.00) | 0.12** (0.01) | −0.15* (0.00) | −0.06*** (0.09) | |
| Long-term risk premium | 0.14 (0.54) | 0.18 (0.43) | −0.17 (0.47) | −0.47*** (0.03) | −0.42 (0.12) | 0.04 (0.84) | |||||||
| Country risk | 0.09 (0.75) | −0.40 (0.18) | −0.63** (0.03) | −0.45 (0.26) | 0.11 (0.82) | 0.12 (0.76) | |||||||
| IGAE | −0.61 (0.13) | 0.16 (0.68) | 0.40 (0.32) | −0.19 (0.56) | −0.10 (0.79) | 0.69** (0.04) | |||||||
| Exchange rate | 0.29** (0.04) | −0.06 (0.65) | −0.28** (0.04) | 0.37* (0.00) | −0.28** (0.02) | −0.21** (0.02) | |||||||
| Inflation rate | −0.96 (0.38) | −0.15 (0.88) | −0.86 (0.44) | −1.22 (1.11) | 1.99** (0.04) | −0.13 (0.86) | |||||||
| SPY500 | 0.02 (0.74) | −0.11 (0.16) | 0.06 (0.41) | −0.16** (0.02) | 0.17** (0.04) | −0.01 (0.94) | |||||||
| R2 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.79 | |
| N | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | |
| Breusch–Pagan test | 0.33 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Variables | Before and during financial crisis | After financial crisis | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High book value (SH) | Med book value (SM) | Low book value (SL) | High book value (SH) | Med book value (SM) | Low book value (SL) | ||||||||
| Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | ||
| C | −0.41 (0.37) | −0.74 (0.28) | −0.67 (0.13) | −0.21 (0.75) | −0.36 (0.42) | 0.92 (0.16) | −0.38 (0.24) | 2.14*** (0.06) | −0.72 (0.06) | −3.39** (0.02) | −0.72** (0.06) | 0.21 (0.85) | |
| Risk premium | 1.01* (0.00) | 1.03* (0.00) | 0.90* (0.00) | 0.87* (0.00) | 0.98* (0.00) | 0.88* (0.00) | 0.95* (0.00) | 1.12* (0.00) | 0.76* (0.00) | 0.55* (0.00) | 0.76* (0.00) | 1.04* (0.00) | |
| SMB | 1.34* (0.00) | 1.39* (0.00) | 0.74* (0.00) | 0.68* (0.00) | 0.66* (0.00) | 0.56* (0.00) | 1.09* (0.00) | 1.19* (0.00) | 0.80* (0.00) | 0.56* (0.00) | 0.80* (0.00) | 0.86* (0.00) | |
| HML | 0.42* (0.00) | 0.42* (0.00) | 0.13* (0.00) | 0.16* (0.00) | −0.25* (0.00) | −0.25* (0.00) | 0.31* (0.00) | 0.35* (0.00) | 0.15* (0.00) | 0.12** (0.01) | −0.15* (0.00) | −0.06*** (0.09) | |
| Long-term risk premium | 0.14 (0.54) | 0.18 (0.43) | −0.17 (0.47) | −0.47*** (0.03) | −0.42 (0.12) | 0.04 (0.84) | |||||||
| Country risk | 0.09 (0.75) | −0.40 (0.18) | −0.63** (0.03) | −0.45 (0.26) | 0.11 (0.82) | 0.12 (0.76) | |||||||
| IGAE | −0.61 (0.13) | 0.16 (0.68) | 0.40 (0.32) | −0.19 (0.56) | −0.10 (0.79) | 0.69** (0.04) | |||||||
| Exchange | 0.29** (0.04) | −0.06 (0.65) | −0.28** (0.04) | 0.37* (0.00) | −0.28** (0.02) | −0.21** (0.02) | |||||||
| Inflation rate | −0.96 (0.38) | −0.15 (0.88) | −0.86 (0.44) | −1.22 (1.11) | 1.99** (0.04) | −0.13 (0.86) | |||||||
| SPY500 | 0.02 (0.74) | −0.11 (0.16) | 0.06 (0.41) | −0.16** (0.02) | 0.17** (0.04) | −0.01 (0.94) | |||||||
| 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.79 | ||
| 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | ||
| Breusch–Pagan test | 0.33 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
Note(s): Trad. FFM refers to Traditional FFM and Ext. FFM refers to Extended FFM
Source(s): Authors’ estimations with data obtained from Bloomberg. * denotes significance at 1%, ** at 5% and *** at 10%, respectively
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.