Results portfolio big-capitalization firms before, during and after the 2008–2009 financial crisis
| Variables | Before and during financial crisis June 1997–May 2010 | After financial crisis June 2010–January 2018 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High book value (BH) | Med -book value (BM) | Low book value (BL) | High book value (BH) | Med book value (BM) | Low book value (BL) | |||||||||
| Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | |||
| C | −2.41* (0.00) | 0.12 (0.82) | −0.17 (0.60) | −0.95*** (0.10) | 0.55** (0.05) | 0.68*** (0.10) | −1.26* (0.00) | −3.88* (0.00) | 0.26 (0.37) | 2.05*** (0.06) | 0.44 (0.17) | 1.20* (0.00) | ||
| Risk premium | 0.78* (0.00) | 0.63* (0.00) | 1.01* (0.00) | 1.04* (0.00) | 1.05* (0.00) | 1.08* (0.00) | 0.63* (0.00) | 0.53* (0.00) | 1.07* (0.00) | 1.10* (0.00) | 1.05* (0.00) | 1.22* (0.00) | ||
| SMB | −0.18* (0.00) | −0.31* (0.00) | 0.02 (0.49) | 0.00 (0.98) | −0.04 (0.19) | 0.01 (0.75) | −0.07 (0.35) | −0.12** (0.10) | −0.08 (0.26) | −0.10 (0.22) | −0.08 (0.31) | −0.00 (0.93) | ||
| HML | 0.50* (0.00) | 0.58* (0.00) | −0.06** (0.01) | −0.10* (0.00) | −0.11* (0.00) | −0.13* (0.00) | 0.66* (0.00) | 0.64* (0.00) | −0.05 (0.11) | −0.03 (0.37) | −0.22* (0.00) | −0.29* (0.00) | ||
| Long-term risk premium | 0.07 (0.70) | 0.33 (0.11) | −0.30** (0.04) | 0.61* (0.00) | −0.04 (0.83) | −0.51** (0.04) | ||||||||
| Country risk | −1.32* (0.00) | 0.13 (0.59) | 0.22 (0.23) | 0.46 (0.20) | −0.68*** (0.08) | 0.34 (0.45) | ||||||||
| IGAE | −0.12 (0.71) | 0.16 (0.63) | −0.35 (0.15) | 0.41 (0.17) | 0.14 (0.65) | −0.15 (0.68) | ||||||||
| Exchange Rate | −0.07 (0.52) | −0.09 (0.45) | 0.10 (0.23) | −0.24* (0.00) | 0.00 (0.94) | −0.12 (0.26) | ||||||||
| Inflation rate | 0.30 (0.74) | −0.61 (0.52) | −0.43 (0.52) | 0.77 (0.25) | −1.02 (0.16) | 0.48 (0.58) | ||||||||
| SPY500 | −0.05 (0.41) | 0.00 (0.99) | 0.10* (0.03) | 0.06 (0.27) | −0.09 (0.15) | −0.00 (0.97) | ||||||||
| R2 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.82 | ||
| N | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | ||
| Breusch-Pagan-test | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.91 | 0.13 | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.14 | ||
| Variables | Before and during financial crisis | After financial crisis | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High book value (BH) | Med -book value (BM) | Low book value (BL) | High book value (BH) | Med book value (BM) | Low book value (BL) | |||||||||
| Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | Trad FFM | Ext FFM | |||
| C | −2.41* (0.00) | 0.12 (0.82) | −0.17 (0.60) | −0.95*** (0.10) | 0.55** (0.05) | 0.68*** (0.10) | −1.26* (0.00) | −3.88* (0.00) | 0.26 (0.37) | 2.05*** (0.06) | 0.44 (0.17) | 1.20* (0.00) | ||
| Risk premium | 0.78* (0.00) | 0.63* (0.00) | 1.01* (0.00) | 1.04* (0.00) | 1.05* (0.00) | 1.08* (0.00) | 0.63* (0.00) | 0.53* (0.00) | 1.07* (0.00) | 1.10* (0.00) | 1.05* (0.00) | 1.22* (0.00) | ||
| SMB | −0.18* (0.00) | −0.31* (0.00) | 0.02 (0.49) | 0.00 (0.98) | −0.04 (0.19) | 0.01 (0.75) | −0.07 (0.35) | −0.12** (0.10) | −0.08 (0.26) | −0.10 (0.22) | −0.08 (0.31) | −0.00 (0.93) | ||
| HML | 0.50* (0.00) | 0.58* (0.00) | −0.06** (0.01) | −0.10* (0.00) | −0.11* (0.00) | −0.13* (0.00) | 0.66* (0.00) | 0.64* (0.00) | −0.05 (0.11) | −0.03 (0.37) | −0.22* (0.00) | −0.29* (0.00) | ||
| Long-term risk premium | 0.07 (0.70) | 0.33 (0.11) | −0.30** (0.04) | 0.61* (0.00) | −0.04 (0.83) | −0.51** (0.04) | ||||||||
| Country risk | −1.32* (0.00) | 0.13 (0.59) | 0.22 (0.23) | 0.46 (0.20) | −0.68*** (0.08) | 0.34 (0.45) | ||||||||
| IGAE | −0.12 (0.71) | 0.16 (0.63) | −0.35 (0.15) | 0.41 (0.17) | 0.14 (0.65) | −0.15 (0.68) | ||||||||
| Exchange | −0.07 (0.52) | −0.09 (0.45) | 0.10 (0.23) | −0.24* (0.00) | 0.00 (0.94) | −0.12 (0.26) | ||||||||
| Inflation rate | 0.30 (0.74) | −0.61 (0.52) | −0.43 (0.52) | 0.77 (0.25) | −1.02 (0.16) | 0.48 (0.58) | ||||||||
| SPY500 | −0.05 (0.41) | 0.00 (0.99) | 0.10* (0.03) | 0.06 (0.27) | −0.09 (0.15) | −0.00 (0.97) | ||||||||
| 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.82 | |||
| 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 156 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | |||
| Breusch-Pagan-test | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.91 | 0.13 | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.14 | ||
Note(s): Trad. FFM refers to Traditional FFM and Ext. FFM refers to Extended FFM
Source(s): Authors’ estimations with data obtained from Bloomberg. * denotes significance at 1%, ** at 5% and *** at 10%, respectively
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