Variables description
| Variable | Code | Computation or type | Explanation | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correlation | MGARCH, Equation (1) | The correlation of the log returns for South Africa and each of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) | Stock indices sourced from the OECD online database | |
| Trade | Equation (2) | The extent of trade intensity between South Africa and each of the BRIC countries | The Quantec database | |
| Surplus-deficit | Dummy | An indicator of trade surplus or deficit. Takes value 1 if at month t trade is surplus and zero if deficit | The Quantec database | |
| BRICSexp | Equation (4) | BRIC age since establishment (or duration) weighted by South Africa-BRIC distance | BRIC website | |
| BRIClead | Scale | The number of times that each country changed leaders in the past | BRIC annual meetings – BRIC website | |
| BRICSexist | Dummy | Indicator variable taking a value of zero for the period before BRIC existence, and 1 from the establishment date onwards | The BRIC website | |
| Rate | Scale | Short-term interest rate differential between South Africa and each of the BRIC countries | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | |
| VIX | Scale | Volatility index based on the S&P500 option index | Finance.yahoo.com | |
| Geopolitics | Scale | An index to measure country-specific political risk based on newspaper-published events | Caldara and Iacoviello (2019) |
| Variable | Code | Computation or type | Explanation | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correlation | MGARCH, | The correlation of the log returns for South Africa and each of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) | Stock indices sourced from the OECD online database | |
| Trade | The extent of trade intensity between South Africa and each of the BRIC countries | The Quantec database | ||
| Surplus-deficit | Dummy | An indicator of trade surplus or deficit. Takes value 1 if at month t trade is surplus and zero if deficit | The Quantec database | |
| BRICSexp | BRIC age since establishment (or duration) weighted by South Africa-BRIC distance | BRIC website | ||
| BRIClead | Scale | The number of times that each country changed leaders in the past | BRIC annual meetings – BRIC website | |
| BRICSexist | Dummy | Indicator variable taking a value of zero for the period before BRIC existence, and 1 from the establishment date onwards | The BRIC website | |
| Rate | Scale | Short-term interest rate differential between South Africa and each of the BRIC countries | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | |
| VIX | Scale | Volatility index based on the S&P500 option index | Finance.yahoo.com | |
| Geopolitics | Scale | An index to measure country-specific political risk based on newspaper-published events |
Source(s): Author's compilation
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