Table A1

Variables description

VariableCodeComputation or typeExplanationSource
ρCorrelationMGARCH, Equation (1)The correlation of the log returns for South Africa and each of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China)Stock indices sourced from the OECD online database
zTradeEquation (2)The extent of trade intensity between South Africa and each of the BRIC countriesThe Quantec database
Surplus-deficitDummyAn indicator of trade surplus or deficit. Takes value 1 if at month t trade is surplus and zero if deficitThe Quantec database
BRICSexpEquation (4)BRIC age since establishment (or duration) weighted by South Africa-BRIC distanceBRIC website
BRICleadScaleThe number of times that each country changed leaders in the pastBRIC annual meetings – BRIC website
BRICSexistDummyIndicator variable taking a value of zero for the period before BRIC existence, and 1 from the establishment date onwards The BRIC website
xRateScaleShort-term interest rate differential between South Africa and each of the BRIC countriesFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
VIXScaleVolatility index based on the S&P500 option indexFinance.yahoo.com
GeopoliticsScaleAn index to measure country-specific political risk based on newspaper-published eventsCaldara and Iacoviello (2019) 

Source(s): Author's compilation

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