Unit root test (annual data)
| At level | First difference | Second difference | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADF | PP | ADF | PP | ADF | PP | |
| CAC | ||||||
| Belize | 0.2234 | 0.2026 | −3.2914*** | −3.2291*** | ||
| Costa Rica | −1.4629 | −1.2062 | −4.0892*** | −4.0804*** | ||
| El Salvador | −1.6477 | −1.5035 | −2.9697 | −2.972 | −4.5955*** | −5.7338*** |
| Guatemala | −1.5421 | −1.6661 | −3.1783 | −3.2026 | ||
| Honduras | −1.4517 | −1.4405 | −5.0409*** | −5.0409*** | −8.3617*** | −8.7989*** |
| Nicaragua | −2.6098 | −2.5668 | −4.4029*** | −4.3307*** | ||
| Panama | −1.5337 | −2.3207 | −3.9688*** | −3.6785*** | ||
| Dominican Rep. | −1.2769 | −0.8195 | −6.2672*** | −6.2672*** | ||
| Mexico | −1.4025 | −1.4025 | −4.3084** | −4.2884** | ||
| SA | ||||||
| Argentina | −1.2002 | −1.2328 | −5.7988*** | −5.8068*** | ||
| Bolivia | −1.9876 | −1.6570 | −2.5252 | −2.479134 | −8.4263*** | −8.8799*** |
| Brazil | −2.9581 | −2.2785 | −3.5817** | −3.5407** | ||
| Chile | 0.7031 | 0.5523 | −4.6829*** | −4.6711*** | ||
| Colombia | −2.1098 | −2.7995 | −3.6362*** | −3.6362*** | ||
| Ecuador | −2.5296 | −1.9352 | −3.9069** | −4.0388** | ||
| Paraguay | −1.4477 | −1.6156 | −2.5053 | −2.5332 | −7.2359*** | −8.0948*** |
| Peru | −1.8593 | −2.3501 | −3.9128*** | −3.5957** | ||
| Uruguay | −0.0848 | 0.2200 | −4.3992*** | −3.1879** | ||
| Venezuela | −2.5774 | −2.7868 | −5.5779*** | −5.5761*** | ||
| Global outputs | ||||||
| US | −0.8413 | 0.8752 | −4.8834*** | −4.7573*** | ||
| EU | −2.2276 | −3.8868 | −3.37.80** | −3.2556** | ||
| China | 0.0032 | 2.3927 | −7.2249*** | −15.5898*** | ||
| At level | First difference | Second difference | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADF | PP | ADF | PP | ADF | PP | |
| Belize | 0.2234 | 0.2026 | −3.2914*** | −3.2291*** | ||
| Costa Rica | −1.4629 | −1.2062 | −4.0892*** | −4.0804*** | ||
| El Salvador | −1.6477 | −1.5035 | −2.9697 | −2.972 | −4.5955*** | −5.7338*** |
| Guatemala | −1.5421 | −1.6661 | −3.1783 | −3.2026 | ||
| Honduras | −1.4517 | −1.4405 | −5.0409*** | −5.0409*** | −8.3617*** | −8.7989*** |
| Nicaragua | −2.6098 | −2.5668 | −4.4029*** | −4.3307*** | ||
| Panama | −1.5337 | −2.3207 | −3.9688*** | −3.6785*** | ||
| Dominican Rep. | −1.2769 | −0.8195 | −6.2672*** | −6.2672*** | ||
| Mexico | −1.4025 | −1.4025 | −4.3084** | −4.2884** | ||
| Argentina | −1.2002 | −1.2328 | −5.7988*** | −5.8068*** | ||
| Bolivia | −1.9876 | −1.6570 | −2.5252 | −2.479134 | −8.4263*** | −8.8799*** |
| Brazil | −2.9581 | −2.2785 | −3.5817** | −3.5407** | ||
| Chile | 0.7031 | 0.5523 | −4.6829*** | −4.6711*** | ||
| Colombia | −2.1098 | −2.7995 | −3.6362*** | −3.6362*** | ||
| Ecuador | −2.5296 | −1.9352 | −3.9069** | −4.0388** | ||
| Paraguay | −1.4477 | −1.6156 | −2.5053 | −2.5332 | −7.2359*** | −8.0948*** |
| Peru | −1.8593 | −2.3501 | −3.9128*** | −3.5957** | ||
| Uruguay | −0.0848 | 0.2200 | −4.3992*** | −3.1879** | ||
| Venezuela | −2.5774 | −2.7868 | −5.5779*** | −5.5761*** | ||
| US | −0.8413 | 0.8752 | −4.8834*** | −4.7573*** | ||
| EU | −2.2276 | −3.8868 | −3.37.80** | −3.2556** | ||
| China | 0.0032 | 2.3927 | −7.2249*** | −15.5898*** | ||
Note(s): The asterisks ***, ** and * indicate the rejection of the unit root null hypothesis at the 1%, 5% and 10% significance levels, respectively. For ADF, the optimal lag length was elected by Schwarz Info Criterion. The null hypothesis in all tests assumes that variables have unit root
Source(s): Own elaboration
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