Variance decomposition (FEVD) of the extended model
| Response variable/forecast horizon | Emerging economies | Advanced economies | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impulse variable | Impulse variable | |||||||||
| GDP | CPI | HP | Interest | FSI | GDP | CPI | HP | Interest | FSI | |
| GDP | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.5009 | 0.0287 | 0.0076 | 0.4553 | 0.0074 | 0.3266 | 0.0587 | 0.0276 | 0.5853 | 0.0018 |
| 20 | 0.5026 | 0.0273 | 0.0071 | 0.4529 | 0.0100 | 0.3124 | 0.0621 | 0.0253 | 0.5919 | 0.0083 |
| CPI | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.1175 | 0.6414 | 0.0062 | 0.2039 | 0.0309 | 0.2463 | 0.2098 | 0.0132 | 0.5022 | 0.0258 |
| 20 | 0.1590 | 0.5811 | 0.0066 | 0.2223 | 0.0307 | 0.2306 | 0.2002 | 0.0135 | 0.5146 | 0.0410 |
| HP | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.1072 | 0.0183 | 0.7164 | 0.1535 | 0.0044 | 0.0441 | 0.1365 | 0.6637 | 0.0437 | 0.1120 |
| 20 | 0.1304 | 0.0187 | 0.6831 | 0.1634 | 0.0043 | 0.0911 | 0.1406 | 0.4681 | 0.1846 | 0.1153 |
| Interest | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.0185 | 0.1072 | 0.0073 | 0.8561 | 0.0109 | 0.2343 | 0.0188 | 0.1297 | 0.7271 | 0.0068 |
| 20 | 0.0203 | 0.1085 | 0.0073 | 0.8522 | 0.1172 | 0.2352 | 0.0187 | 0.0142 | 0.7249 | 0.0069 |
| FSI | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.0940 | 0.0970 | 0.0140 | 0.0180 | 0.7770 | 0.1443 | 0.2210 | 0.0039 | 0.1920 | 0.4309 |
| 20 | 0.1655 | 0.0892 | 0.1251 | 0.0564 | 0.6763 | 0.1691 | 0.1677 | 0.0090 | 0.3751 | 0.2790 |
| Response variable/forecast horizon | Emerging economies | Advanced economies | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impulse variable | Impulse variable | |||||||||
| GDP | CPI | HP | Interest | FSI | GDP | CPI | HP | Interest | FSI | |
| GDP | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.5009 | 0.0287 | 0.0076 | 0.4553 | 0.0074 | 0.3266 | 0.0587 | 0.0276 | 0.5853 | 0.0018 |
| 20 | 0.5026 | 0.0273 | 0.0071 | 0.4529 | 0.0100 | 0.3124 | 0.0621 | 0.0253 | 0.5919 | 0.0083 |
| CPI | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.1175 | 0.6414 | 0.0062 | 0.2039 | 0.0309 | 0.2463 | 0.2098 | 0.0132 | 0.5022 | 0.0258 |
| 20 | 0.1590 | 0.5811 | 0.0066 | 0.2223 | 0.0307 | 0.2306 | 0.2002 | 0.0135 | 0.5146 | 0.0410 |
| HP | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.1072 | 0.0183 | 0.7164 | 0.1535 | 0.0044 | 0.0441 | 0.1365 | 0.6637 | 0.0437 | 0.1120 |
| 20 | 0.1304 | 0.0187 | 0.6831 | 0.1634 | 0.0043 | 0.0911 | 0.1406 | 0.4681 | 0.1846 | 0.1153 |
| Interest | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.0185 | 0.1072 | 0.0073 | 0.8561 | 0.0109 | 0.2343 | 0.0188 | 0.1297 | 0.7271 | 0.0068 |
| 20 | 0.0203 | 0.1085 | 0.0073 | 0.8522 | 0.1172 | 0.2352 | 0.0187 | 0.0142 | 0.7249 | 0.0069 |
| FSI | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0.0940 | 0.0970 | 0.0140 | 0.0180 | 0.7770 | 0.1443 | 0.2210 | 0.0039 | 0.1920 | 0.4309 |
| 20 | 0.1655 | 0.0892 | 0.1251 | 0.0564 | 0.6763 | 0.1691 | 0.1677 | 0.0090 | 0.3751 | 0.2790 |
Source(s): Own elaboration
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