VAR lag order selection criteria
| Endogenous variables: ln(M), ln(GDP), ln(PM) and ln(PD) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lag | LogL | LR | FPE | AIC | SC | HQ |
| 1 | 2377.514 | NA | 3.75e-15 | −21.86587 | −21.61585 | −21.76486 |
| 3 | 2517.411 | 127.7568 | 1.38e-15 | −22.86491 | −22.11485* | −22.56189* |
| 12 | 2673.873 | 37.45154 | 1.27e-15* | −22.98030 | −19.98006 | −21.76820 |
| 13 | 2689.911 | 24.35481 | 1.28e-15 | −22.98066* | −19.73039 | −21.66754 |
| 15 | 2720.349 | 26.98793* | 1.32e-15 | −22.96619 | −19.21588 | −21.45106 |
| Endogenous variables: | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lag | LogL | LR | FPE | AIC | SC | HQ |
| 1 | 2377.514 | NA | 3.75e-15 | −21.86587 | −21.61585 | −21.76486 |
| 3 | 2517.411 | 127.7568 | 1.38e-15 | −22.86491 | −22.11485* | −22.56189* |
| 12 | 2673.873 | 37.45154 | 1.27e-15* | −22.98030 | −19.98006 | −21.76820 |
| 13 | 2689.911 | 24.35481 | 1.28e-15 | −22.98066* | −19.73039 | −21.66754 |
| 15 | 2720.349 | 26.98793* | 1.32e-15 | −22.96619 | −19.21588 | −21.45106 |
Note(s): * indicates lag order selected by the criterion
LR: sequentially modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level); FPE: Final prediction error; AIC: Akaike information criterion; SC: Schwarz information criterion; HQ: Hannan–Quinn information criterion
Source(s): Own elaboration
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