Unrestricted cointegration rank Testt–Johansen method: Null H: No cointegration
| Panel A: Trace | Panel B: Maximum Eigenvalue | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hypothesized | Eigen value | Trace | 0.05 | Prob.** | Hypothesized | Eigen value | Max-Eigen | 0.05 | |
| No. of CE(s) | Sta. | Critical Value | No. of CE(s) | Sta. | Critical Value | Prob.** | |||
| None* | 0.37 | 141.0 | 95.75 | 0.00 | None* | 0.37 | 54.22 | 40.08 | 0.00 |
| At most 1* | 0.30 | 86.84 | 69.82 | 0.00 | At most 1* | 0.30 | 41.34 | 33.88 | 0.01 |
| At most 2* | 0.15 | 45.50 | 47.86 | 0.08 | At most 2 * | 0.15 | 19.32 | 27.58 | 0.39 |
| At most 3 | 0.12 | 26.18 | 29.80 | 0.12 | At most 3* | 0.12 | 15.25 | 21.13 | 0.27 |
| At most 4 | 0.08 | 10.94 | 15.49 | 0.22 | At most 4 | 0.08 | 9.27 | 14.26 | 0.26 |
| At most 5 | 0.01 | 1.66 | 3.84 | 0.20 | At most 5 | 0.01 | 1.66 | 3.84 | 0.20 |
| Panel A: Trace | Panel B: Maximum Eigenvalue | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hypothesized | Eigen | Trace | 0.05 | Prob. | Hypothesized | Eigen | Max-Eigen | 0.05 | |
| No. of CE(s) | Sta. | Critical Value | No. of CE(s) | Sta. | Critical Value | Prob. | |||
| None | 0.37 | 141.0 | 95.75 | 0.00 | None | 0.37 | 54.22 | 40.08 | 0.00 |
| At most 1 | 0.30 | 86.84 | 69.82 | 0.00 | At most 1 | 0.30 | 41.34 | 33.88 | 0.01 |
| At most 2 | 0.15 | 45.50 | 47.86 | 0.08 | At most 2 | 0.15 | 19.32 | 27.58 | 0.39 |
| At most 3 | 0.12 | 26.18 | 29.80 | 0.12 | At most 3 | 0.12 | 15.25 | 21.13 | 0.27 |
| At most 4 | 0.08 | 10.94 | 15.49 | 0.22 | At most 4 | 0.08 | 9.27 | 14.26 | 0.26 |
| At most 5 | 0.01 | 1.66 | 3.84 | 0.20 | At most 5 | 0.01 | 1.66 | 3.84 | 0.20 |
Notes:
While the Trace test indicates 3 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 leve., the Max-eigenvalue test indicates 4 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level;
*denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level;
**MacKinnon–Haug–Michelis (1999) p-values; Series: RHP RDISP ATMR STOCKS REER UNEMPLOYMENT. In both panels, the length pf the lags used in the VAR model is determined by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)
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