Table III.

Unrestricted cointegration rank Testt–Johansen method: Null H: No cointegration

Panel A: TracePanel B: Maximum Eigenvalue
HypothesizedEigen
value
Trace0.05Prob.**HypothesizedEigen
value
Max-Eigen0.05
No. of CE(s)Sta.Critical ValueNo. of CE(s)Sta.Critical ValueProb.**
None*0.37141.095.750.00None*0.3754.2240.080.00
At most 1*0.3086.8469.820.00At most 1*0.3041.3433.880.01
At most 2*0.1545.5047.860.08At most 2 *0.1519.3227.580.39
At most 30.1226.1829.800.12At most 3*0.1215.2521.130.27
At most 40.0810.9415.490.22At most 40.089.2714.260.26
At most 50.011.663.840.20At most 50.011.663.840.20

Notes:

While the Trace test indicates 3 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 leve., the Max-eigenvalue test indicates 4 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level;

*denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level;

**MacKinnon–Haug–Michelis (1999) p-values; Series: RHP RDISP ATMR STOCKS REER UNEMPLOYMENT. In both panels, the length pf the lags used in the VAR model is determined by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)

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