Table AI.

Variable definitions and data sources

VariableDescriptionData source
Real Housing Price, rhp.House price index deflated by the consumer price index rebased to 1986Q1 in logs. The index estimates development of prices and values of the existing stock of one- or two-dwelling buildings in the entire country. The index is constructed based on repeated sales and takes into consideration that the houses sold may not be a random sample of the housing stock and that the mix or composition of houses may vary from one-quarter/year to the next. One- or two-dwelling buildings for permanent dwelling include detached one- or two-dwelling buildings, terraced houses and linked buildingsStatistics Sweden and Datastream
Real household disposable
Income, Rdisp.
Aggregated Real household disposable income, seasonally adjusted in logsStatistics Sweden and Datastream
Household Financial Assets Net of Liabilities, NHFWReal total household financial assets minus liabilities in logs, backdated using the quadratic-match average and interpolated to a quarterly frequencySwedish National Wealth
Real After-Tax mortgage rate, ATMRThe real after-tax deductibility mortgage rate is calculated using rt m1-τt-πt⁠, where rt is a 5-year mortgage rate, τt is the amount of the interest rate tax deduction (50 % from 1986 to 1989 and 30 % thereafter), and πt is the inflation rateStatistics Sweden, Riksbanken, and Datastream
Real User Cos, μtWe use the following formula: μt=rft+ ωt- τt itm+ωt+δt+θt-gt+1+ γt⁠. The risk-free rate (⁠rft) is measured by the government bond yield on 10-year maturities; ωt is the property tax rate; the effective tax rate on income subjected to tax deductibility (τt) is calculated as 50 % from 1986 to 1990 and 30 % since 1991; mortgage nominal interest ( rtm⁠) is measured by Sweden’s mortgage rate on 5-year maturities; maintenance and other carrying costs (δt) are assumed to be 1 % per year; depreciation (τt) is assumed to be 2 % per year; expected capital gain (gt+1) is calculated as the moving average of the previous three years; and the risk premium is (γt) is assumed to be 5% per yearStatistics Sweden, Riksbanken, Datastream, and Skatteverket
Real Effective Exchange Rate, REERThe nominal effective exchange rate (a measure of the value of the Swedish krona against a weighted average of Sweden’s largest trade partners) divided by a price deflator in logs. An increase in the real effective exchange rate implies that exports become more expensive and imports become cheaper; therefore, an increase in the real effective exchange rate indicates a decrease in trade competitivenessIMF, OECD, and Datastream
Real Household Debt, HDEBTMFI’s lending to households for housing deflated by the consumer price index in logsRiksbanken and Datastream
Housing Stock, StocksQuarterly dwellings completed –one or two –dwelling buildingsStatistics
Sweden and Datastream
Tobin’s QThe nominal house price index deflated by the total construction cost rebased to 1986Q1Statistics Sweden
PopulationPopulation transformed to a quarterly frequency using a quadratic-match averageStatistics Sweden
UnemploymentThe annual unemployment rate for people between 15 and 74 years of age transformed to a quarterly frequency using a quadratic-match averageStatistics Sweden

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