Amplitude and duration of the six phases of the three sequential honeycomb cycles (1976–1988; 1988–2001; 2001–2019)
| Sequential Honeycomb cycles | Turning points | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | Phase 2 | Phase 3 | Phase 4 | Phase 5 | Phase 6 | |
| HC Cycle 1 (12 years) | 1976–1980 | 1981 | not detected | 1982–1984 | 1985–1986 | 1987 |
| Duration (years) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Transaction growth | 32.4% | −4.0% | – | −37.5% | 20.7% | 0% |
| House price growth | 6.6% | 8.8% | – | −17.3% | −11.1% | −0.7% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | S | 1981 | 1983 | |||
| HC Cycle 2 (12 years) | 1988–1991 | 1992 | not detected | 1993–1996 | not detected | 1997–1999 |
| Duration (years) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Transaction growth | 20.2% | −16.3% | – | −5.3% | – | 24.8% |
| House price growth | 40.0% | 10.1% | – | −9.6% | – | −1.0% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | 1989 | 1997 | ||||
| HC Cycle 3(20 years) | 2000–2003 | 2004–2007 | 2008–2011 | 2012–2013 | 2014–2015 | 2016–2019 |
| Duration (years) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Transaction growth | 49.0% | −13.3% | −26.9% | −28.1% | 8.5% | 38.2% |
| House price growth | 18.0% | 16.6% | −1.4% | −12.6% | −8.0% | −0.3% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | 2004 | 2013 | ||||
| Sequential | Turning points | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | Phase 2 | Phase 3 | Phase 4 | Phase 5 | Phase 6 | |
| Duration (years) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Transaction growth | 32.4% | −4.0% | – | −37.5% | 20.7% | 0% |
| House price growth | 6.6% | 8.8% | – | −17.3% | −11.1% | −0.7% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | S | 1981 | 1983 | |||
| Duration (years) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Transaction growth | 20.2% | −16.3% | – | −5.3% | – | 24.8% |
| House price growth | 40.0% | 10.1% | – | −9.6% | – | −1.0% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | 1989 | 1997 | ||||
| Duration (years) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Transaction growth | 49.0% | −13.3% | −26.9% | −28.1% | 8.5% | 38.2% |
| House price growth | 18.0% | 16.6% | −1.4% | −12.6% | −8.0% | −0.3% |
| Price bubble (initial/final year) | 2004 | 2013 | ||||
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