Empirical studies that have considered the effects of some macroeconomic variables on the NPLs of EU countries after the 2007 financial crisis
| Author | Independent variables | Countries | Years | Econometric method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Škarica (2014) | GDP, unemployment, inflation rate | Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Latvia, Romania and Slovakia | 2007–2012 | Fixed effects |
| Tanasković and Jandrić (2015) | (FX_cred; ex_rate; intr_r; infl; fin_mark; sound_b)1 | Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Lithuania, Montenegro, FYR Macedonia, Romania, Serbia and Slovenia | 2006 to 2013 period | Fixed effects |
| Beck et al. (2015) | RGDP; NEER; Lending IR; ICL2 | 75 Western countries, including 26 of the 28 EU countries (countries not considered: Cyprus and Malta | 2000–2010 |
|
| Anastasiou et al. (2016) | ROA, ROE, LTD, UNEMP, TAXINC, FISCAL, DEBT, GROWTH, infl3 | Euro-area | 1990–2015 | GMM estimations |
| Anastasiou et al. (2019a) | ROA, ROE, LTD, UNEMP, TAXINC, FISCAL, DEBT, GROWTH, infl | Euro-area | 2003–2016 | VAR |
| Anastasiou et al. (2019b) | GOVERNANCE index (PCA for all the Worldwide Governance Indicators, WGI) | Greece | 1996–2016 | OLS |
| Author | Independent variables | Countries | Years | Econometric method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007–2012 | Fixed effects | |||
| ( | Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Lithuania, Montenegro, FYR Macedonia, Romania, Serbia and Slovenia | 2006 to 2013 period | Fixed effects | |
| 75 Western countries, including 26 of the 28 EU countries (countries not considered: Cyprus and Malta | 2000–2010 | Fixed effects Arellano-Bond estimation | ||
| Euro-area | 1990–2015 | GMM estimations | ||
| Euro-area | 2003–2016 | VAR | ||
| Greece | 1996–2016 | OLS |
Note(s): 1FX_cred, is the local currency value of FX denominated debt and its servicing cost; ex_rate is the change in the nominal US dollar exchange rate for each country; intr_r is Increases in lending rates; infl is inflation rate; fin_mark is financial market developments; sound_b is soundness of the banking system; 2RGDP (Real Gross domestic Product); NEER (Nominal Effective Exchange Rate); LendingIR (Lending Interest Rate); ICL (International Claims); 3ROA (return on assets); ROE (return on equity); LTD (increasing loans to deposits ratio); UNEMP (increasing unemployment). TAXINC (income tax as % of GDP); FISCAL (government budget balance as % of GDP). DEBT (the general gross government debt as % of GDP); GROWTH (the percentage growth rate of real GDP); Infl (inflation rate)
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