Half-life estimation for the ARDL and NARDL models
| ARDL model | NARDL model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectations | Survey expectations | Market expectations | Survey expectations | |
| GBPCAD | 5.22 | 3.29 | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| GBPAUD | 2.36 | 1.60 | 1.76 | 0.82 |
| GBPNZD | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 0.87 |
| GBPSEK | 1.25 | 1.11 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| CADAUD | 1.19 | 1.34 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| CADNZD | 2.95 | 2.46 | 2.60 | 2.06 |
| CADSEK | 4.31 | 4.87 | 2.61 | 1.82 |
| AUDNZD | 1.11 | 1.08 | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| AUDSEK | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| NZDSEK | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.41 |
| ARDL model | NARDL model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectations | Survey expectations | Market expectations | Survey expectations | |
| GBPCAD | 5.22 | 3.29 | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| GBPAUD | 2.36 | 1.60 | 1.76 | 0.82 |
| GBPNZD | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 0.87 |
| GBPSEK | 1.25 | 1.11 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| CADAUD | 1.19 | 1.34 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| CADNZD | 2.95 | 2.46 | 2.60 | 2.06 |
| CADSEK | 4.31 | 4.87 | 2.61 | 1.82 |
| AUDNZD | 1.11 | 1.08 | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| AUDSEK | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| NZDSEK | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.41 |
Note(s): Half-lives are calculated using the formula ; where is the speed of reversion and are expressed in years
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.