Main compounding factors related to the ongoing conflict
| Second-order effects | Causal relationships | References |
|---|---|---|
| Damage to infrastructure | Lack of basic services
| ACAPS (2019), Chaignat and Monti (2007), Federspiel and Ali (2018) |
| Economic collapse | Lack of basic commodities Diminished local currency and purchasing power
| ACAPS (2020a), Caccavale et al. (2018), Federspiel and Ali (2018), WHO (2017) |
| Lack of basic commodities Price inflation
| ACAPS (2020a), Caccavale et al. (2018), Cash Learning Partnership (CaLP) (2018), FAO et al. (2018) | |
| Lack of basic services Increased unemployment rate:
| Caccavale et al. (2018), WHO (2017) | |
| Population displacement | Overcrowding
| Caccavale et al. (2018), Chao et al. (2014), UNHCR (2020) |
| Power cuts and fuel shortages | Lack of basic services and commodities
| ACAPS (2019), Caccavale et al. (2018) |
| Second-order effects | Causal relationships | References |
|---|---|---|
| Damage to infrastructure | Damage to infrastructure, such as Al-Hudaydah port, caused supply chain disruptions affecting public and private services Disruption of power supply and water network, causing water contamination and accumulation of solid and human waste | |
| Economic collapse | An estimated 50% economic contraction since 2015 81% of Yemenis living below poverty line Low beneficiary purchasing power reduced demand for goods Reduced beneficiary purchasing power reduced supplier purchasing power Price inflation, coupled with reduced purchasing power, increased needs of food, water, medicine and shelter | |
Inflated transportation and production costs Cost of food basket increased by 94% since 2015 Wholesalers withhold supplies due to highly volatile exchange rates and lack of foreign currency, retailers may not able to restock regularly, adding up the prices Affects usability and feasibility of CVA programs | ||
Employment and income opportunities diminished since 2016 More than 600,000 jobs estimated to have been lost mainly in agriculture and service sector Health-care workers without pay for more than 10 months, with many leaving their positions | ||
| Population displacement | Displacement may reduce the amount of clean water available per person 3.6 million internally displaced persons due to the conflict | |
| Power cuts and fuel shortages | Fuel shortages reduce the possibility of water trucking, while the major cost of water trucking is the price of fuel Most fuel is imported through Al-Hudaydah and Aden ports, while the ports were blocked due to the conflict and road to the main cities were damaged Electricity and water network cuts shut down some of the health and education facilities Fuel scarcity contributed to low level of imports, currency crisis and poor supply of goods into local markets |
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