Analytical framework
| Vulnerability dimension | Field of enquiry | Type of vulnerability sources | Sources of vulnerability |
|---|---|---|---|
| (a) External institutional design | Administrative structure and fiscal rules | Lack of anticipatory capacities |
|
| Lack of coping capacities |
| ||
| (a) External institutional design | Revenue structure | Lack of anticipatory capacities |
|
| Lack of coping capacities |
| ||
| (b) Internal financial condition | Expenditure structure | Lack of anticipatory capacities |
|
| Lack of coping capacities |
| ||
| (a) External institutional design | Vulnerability outlook | Lack of anticipatory capacities |
|
| (b) Internal financial condition | |||
| (c) Perception of capacity to cope with crisis | |||
| Lack of coping capacities |
|
| Vulnerability dimension | Field of enquiry | Type of vulnerability sources | Sources of vulnerability |
|---|---|---|---|
| (a) External institutional design | Administrative structure and fiscal rules | Lack of anticipatory capacities | Absence/limited rules on debt and deficit ( Lack of formalized spending reviews as a framework for annual budgets to increase efficiency ( Public sector audits which fail to scrutinize readiness for urgent crises concerning low probability – high impact events ( |
| Lack of coping capacities | No/limited possibility to relax fiscal rules such as limits to current and capital expenditure financing, debt ceilings, balanced budget requirement, etc. ( | ||
| (a) External institutional design | Revenue structure | Lack of anticipatory capacities | Dependency on transfers and limited own resources ( Lack/limited cash and/or financial reserves ( Lack of anticipated approval of supplementary budget ( Lack of insurance for low probability – high impact events ( Lack of provisions for contingent credit ( |
| Lack of coping capacities | No/limited possibility to sell assets ( No/limited possibility of increasing fees and charges ( No/limited possibility increasing debts (loans) ( | ||
| (b) Internal financial condition | Expenditure structure | Lack of anticipatory capacities | Lack/little discretionary expenditures which can be cut/reduced ( |
| Lack of coping capacities | High proportion of rigid/sticky expenditure with no/limited possibility of directly reducing them (cost cuts, virements, deferring investments) ( No/limited possibility of moratorium on debt repayment or of changing the cash flow on debts covenants ( No/limited possibility of indirectly reducing expenditure (rationalizing services, managing demand, and increasing efficiency) ( No/limited possibility of cancellation of doubtful liabilities ( | ||
| (a) External institutional design | Vulnerability outlook | Lack of anticipatory capacities | Unavailability of relevant statistics, financial and other data ( No/limited financial planning, risk assessment, scenario analysis, and other monitoring tools ( Low environmental and self-awareness by municipalities ( |
| (b) Internal financial condition | |||
| (c) Perception of capacity to cope with crisis | |||
| Lack of coping capacities | Debt and deficit above generally accepted levels ( |
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