Table III.

Summary regression outcome

CountryVariablesR2
GermanyECB interest rate Oil price
Euro vs RMB
0.845
PortugalIndustrial confidence indicator
Unemployment ratio - Pop > 25 years stock index
Production industrial construction
0.689
SpainManufacturing turnover index
Production prices in industry, domestic market
Real effective exchange rate - 42 trading partners
0.753
ItalyUnemployment ratio - Pop. > 25 years
General economic situation
Production prices in industry, domestic market
Manufacturing, production index
0.721
IrelandInflation ratio
General economic situation
0.696
FranceGeneral economic situation
LT interest rate
Production prices in industry, domestic market
0.720
BelgiumTreasury bond (10 years)
Unemployment ratio - Pop. > 25 years Interest rate deposits
Stock index
0.662
The NetherlandsUnemployment ratio - Pop. > 25 years
Industry confidence indicator
Consumer confidence indicator
0.737

or Create an Account

Close subscription notice
Close access options