Table 5.

Relative value-relevance (table by authors)

Panel A: Full sample
 All firmsExcluding real estateNo discretionary earnings
 (Dependent = MV)(Dependent = MV)(Dependent = MV)
VariablesM1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8 
BV**0.4860.2640.169**0.5270.2920.205***0.527*0.349 
 (0.021)(0.295)(0.491)(0.025)(0.293)(0.443)(0.006)(0.060) 
GAAP***4.371  ***4.451  ***4.238  
 (<0.001)  (<0.001)  (<0.001)  
HEAD ***6.602  ***6.378  ***5.878 
  (<0.001)  (<0.001)  (0.001) 
COMB  ***7.648  ***7.250   
   (<0.001)  (<0.001)   
NEG***4.483*1.864**2.314**3.6891.2161.606*1.9090.450 
 (0.006)(0.060)(0.046)(0.020)(0.307)(0.227)(0.074)(0.677) 
Fixed effects:         
YearYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes 
FirmYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes 
Na2 6042 6042 6042 3042 3042 3041 7701 770 
Within R225.5%31.8%36.1%25.7%30.1%33.6%31.0%33.9% 
Vuong test:         
− vs M1 ***–2.843***–4.129 **–2.109***–3.134 −1.114 
  (0.005)(<0.001) (0.035)(0.002) (0.265) 
− vs M2  **–2.115  *–1.959   
   (0.035)  (0.050)   
Panel B: Firms that report discretionary earnings
 All firmsExcluding real estateReal estate
 (Dependent = MV)(Dependent = MV)(Dependent = MV)
VariablesM9M10M11M12M13M14M15M16M17
BV*0.4710.255−0.086**0.8530.351−0.089**0.382***0.359***0.599
 (0.074)(0.359)(0.769)(0.040)(0.335)(0.802)(0.027)(0.009)(0.001)
GAAP***3.823  1.560  1.517  
 (<0.001)  (0.194)  (0.180)  
HEAD ***5.553  ***4.993  **4.495 
  (0.001)  (0.001)  (0.024) 
DISC  ***8.509  ***7.900  **−3.236
   (<0.001)  (<0.001)  (0.048)
NEG8.0621.1492.583−6.652−3.363−0.9024.5412.2140.407
 (0.117)(0.774)(0.486)(0.450)(0.523)(0.860)(0.128)(0.210)(0.801)
Fixed effects:         
YearYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
FirmYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Na846846846622622622223223223
Within R221.4%23.7%32.7%15.2%20.4%27.4%48.0%52.0%39.6%
Vuong test:         
− vs M1 −0.963***−2.634 *−1.737***−2.678 −0.7411.033
  (0.336)(0.009) (0.083)(0.008) (0.460)(0.303)
− vs M2  **−2.104  **−1.995  1.573
   (0.036)  (0.046)  (0.117)

Notes:

a

Following prior research (Venter et al., 2014), subsamples are selected from the main sample before trimming (2,755 observations in Table 1) and are individually trimmed thereafter. The result is that the sum of observations for the subsamples does not always add up exactly to the number of observations in the main sample.

Results are from estimating model (2) with ADJUST omitted. The dependent variable is MV, the cum dividend market value of equity, three months after the reporting date; BV is the book value of equity; GAAP is GAAP earnings; HEAD is headline earnings; DISC is discretionary earnings; COMB is discretionary earnings if reported and headline earnings if not; NEG is an indicator variable set to one if GAAP is negative and zero otherwise. All variables, other than indicator variables, are scaled by number of shares outstanding. Two-tailed p-values based on robust standard errors clustered by firm and year (Petersen, 2009; Cameron et al., 2011) are reported in brackets. An adjustment is made for individual variables where the variance-covariance matrix is not positive-semidefinite.

***,

** and

* denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. The Vuong test (Vuong, 1989) is directional so that a negative test statistic indicates that the second model is superior to the first

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