ARDL short and long run estimations
| Variable | Coefficient | p-value |
|---|---|---|
| Long-run | ||
| External debt | −0.6276665 | 0.1871 |
| External debt services | −0.2420249 | 0.1102 |
| Corruption perception index | −0.1348824 | 0.2688 |
| Consumer price index | −0.2052705 | 0.0000*** |
| Gross fixed capital formation | 0.1263841 | 0.0001*** |
| Short-run | ||
| ΔExternal debt | 0.271907 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔExternal debt services | −0.609451 | 0.2065 |
| ΔCorruption perception index | −0.282718 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔConsumer price index | −0.1295078 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔGross fixed capital formation | 0.304888 | 0.0000*** |
| C | −0.2316397 | 0.0030*** |
| Variable | Coefficient | |
|---|---|---|
| External debt | −0.6276665 | 0.1871 |
| External debt services | −0.2420249 | 0.1102 |
| Corruption perception index | −0.1348824 | 0.2688 |
| Consumer price index | −0.2052705 | 0.0000*** |
| Gross fixed capital formation | 0.1263841 | 0.0001*** |
| ΔExternal debt | 0.271907 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔExternal debt services | −0.609451 | 0.2065 |
| ΔCorruption perception index | −0.282718 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔConsumer price index | −0.1295078 | 0.0000*** |
| ΔGross fixed capital formation | 0.304888 | 0.0000*** |
| −0.2316397 | 0.0030*** | |
Note(s): p-values in brackets. [***]/(**)/* indicates significance at 1, 5 and 10% respectively