Table 5

Asymmetric coefficient estimates

Dep. var: lnGDPCoefficientt-statistics
ECt1 −0.703*** −3.148 (0.014)
CGDtt1+ −0.004 −0.369 (0.722)
CGDtt1 0.025 1.695 (0.129)
IPEDt1+ −0.120* −1.970 (0.084)
IPEDt1 −0.155** −2.838 (0.022)
NFDIt1+ 0.158** 2.707 (0.027)
NFDIt1 −0.166** −3.316 (0.011)
C 13.119** 2.744 (0.025)
ΔlnGDPt1 0.279 1.371 (0.208)
ΔCGDtt1+ 0.004 0.849 (0.421)
L1 −0.009 −1.119 (0.296)
ΔCGDtt1 −0.028** −2.612 (0.031)
L1 −0.027** −2.682 (0.028)
ΔIPEDt1+ −0.084* −1.883 (0.097)
ΔIPEDt1 0.096*** 3.258 (0.012)
L1 0.125** 2.701 (0.027)
ΔNFDIt1+ 0.170*** 4.476 (0.002)
L1 −0.053* −2.280 (0.052)
ΔNFDIt1 −0.174*** −5.739 (0.000)
L1 0.087* 2.146 (0.064)
Diagnostic tests
R20.96χhet215.965 (0.316) 
χs/corr20.041 (0.840)JBnorm2.566 (0.277) 

Note(s): (+) and (−) denote the positive and negative partial sums of the NARDL model, and the p-values are in parenthesis. Diagnostic tests in the model are conducted using χs/corr2 for serial correlation, χhet2 for heteroscedasticity and JBnorm for normality. The null hypothesis underlying the residual diagnostic tests are as follows: H0s/corr: no serial correlation, H0hetro: homoscedasticity and H0norm:εtN(0,σ2). *, ** and *** denote statistical significance at the 10, 5 and 1% level, respectively. The estimation of the NARDL model is based on an automatic ARDL framework constructed using optimally chosen SIC- and AIC-based lags

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