ADF, ADF-GLS and KPSS Unit root tests for stationarity analysis of first differenced series (α = 0.05)
| Series | Diff Log IBOVESPA_1 | Diff Log CHISHA_1 | Diff Log DAX 30_1 | Diff Log IND_BOMB_1 | DiffLog FTSE 100_1 | DiffLog NYSE_1 | DiffLog AL Index_1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADF with const | −42.69 | −43.58 | −44.47 | −40.85 | −42.01 | −43.82 | −36.04 |
| p-value | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* |
| ADF with const and trend | −43.23 | −43.58 | −44.49 | −40.84 | −42.01 | −43.83 | −36.04 |
| p-value | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* |
| ADF_GLS τ | −2.12 | −9.09* | −3.85* | −4.18* | −42.00* | −31.04* | −28.23* |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS | 3.13 | 0.07* | 0.18* | 0.11* | 0.06* | 0.17* | 0.12* |
| Critical value | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 |
| Testing down from 25 lags and BIC criterion for ADF and ADF-GLS; Lag order 8 for KPSS | |||||||
| Series | DiffLog IBOVESPA_2 | DiffLog CHISHA_2 | DiffLog DAX 30_2 | DiffLog IND_BOMB_2 | DiffLog FTSE 100_2 | DiffLog NYSE_2 | DiffLog AL Index_2 |
| ADF with const | −76.82 | −73.07 | −75.21 | −69.61 | −29.00 | −80.77 | −80.92 |
| p-value | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* |
| ADF with const and trend | −76.82 | −73.06 | −75.21 | −69.61 | −29.00 | −80.77 | −80.93 |
| p-value | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* | 0.00* |
| ADF_GLS τ | −2.36 | −2.77 | −17.39* | −4.26* | −29.63* | −2.97* | −10.73* |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS | 0.07* | 0.06* | 0.15* | 0.09* | 0.09* | 0.07* | 0.14* |
| Critical value | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 |
| Testing down from 32 lags and BIC criterion for ADF and ADF-GLS; Lag order 10 for KPSS | |||||||
| Series | Diff Log IBOVESPA_1 | Diff Log CHISHA_1 | Diff Log DAX 30_1 | Diff Log IND_BOMB_1 | DiffLog FTSE 100_1 | DiffLog NYSE_1 | DiffLog AL Index_1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADF with const | −42.69 | −43.58 | −44.47 | −40.85 | −42.01 | −43.82 | −36.04 |
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADF with const and trend | −43.23 | −43.58 | −44.49 | −40.84 | −42.01 | −43.83 | −36.04 |
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADF_GLS τ | −2.12 | −9.09 | −3.85 | −4.18 | −42.00 | −31.04 | −28.23 |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS | 3.13 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| Critical value | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 |
| Testing down from 25 lags and BIC criterion for ADF and ADF-GLS; Lag order 8 for KPSS | |||||||
| Series | DiffLog IBOVESPA_2 | DiffLog CHISHA_2 | DiffLog DAX 30_2 | DiffLog IND_BOMB_2 | DiffLog FTSE 100_2 | DiffLog NYSE_2 | DiffLog AL Index_2 |
| ADF with const | −76.82 | −73.07 | −75.21 | −69.61 | −29.00 | −80.77 | −80.92 |
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADF with const and trend | −76.82 | −73.06 | −75.21 | −69.61 | −29.00 | −80.77 | −80.93 |
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADF_GLS τ | −2.36 | −2.77 | −17.39 | −4.26 | −29.63 | −2.97 | −10.73 |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| Critical value | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 | 0.462 |
| Testing down from 32 lags and BIC criterion for ADF and ADF-GLS; Lag order 10 for KPSS | |||||||
Notes:
Table resumes the formal unit-root tests for first differenced log-series. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Augmented Dickey-Fuller Generalized Least Squares Regression (ADF-GLS) and Kwiatkowsky-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test are calculated with the corresponding p-value. Lag adjustments are because of different sample sizes.
Indicates stationarity at 5% level (α = 0.05)