Table 1.

Summary of transportation system perturbations and characteristics

Perturbation nameCharacteristicsImpact scopeHazard degreeDurationRandomness
Severe weatherAbnormal shocks on the supply sideSmallLow mediumShortPredictable
Natural disastersAbnormal shocks on the supply sideLargeHighShort mediumRandom, sometimes predictable
Terrorist attacksAbnormal shocks on the supply sideMedium-LargeHighShortUnpredictable
Transportation facilities collapseNormal shocks on the demand side, including major events and holidays; Normal shocks on the supply side, including bus delays and rail transit blockingSmall mediumVaryShort mediumRandom, sometimes predictable
Traffic congestionNormal shocks on the supply side, including accidentsSmall mediumLow mediumShortPredictable
Road constructionNormal shocks on the supply sideSmallLowShortPredictable
EpidemicAbnormal shocks on the supply sideMedium largeMedium highMedium longRandom, sometimes predictable

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