Results of regression modelling.
| Variables | Neonatal Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Infant Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Under-five Years Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Mortality from Diabetes, Age 19 Years and Under/ 100,000 Population | Mortality from Epilepsy, Age 19 Years and Under/ 100,000 Population | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | ||||||
| Log GDP per capita PPP | −1.255*** [0.363] | −1.565*** [0.361] | −2.012*** [0.555] | −2.441*** [0.548] | −2.388*** [0.665] | −2.848*** [0.635] | 0.018 [0.019] | −0.026 [0.017] | 0.091 [0.067] | −0.083 [0.062] |
| Out-of-pocket as % total health expenditure | 0.027** [0.014] | 0.036*** [0.014] | 0.014 [0.021] | 0.036* [0.021] | 0.023 [0.025] | 0.058** [0.025] | 0.002** [0.001] | 0.002*** [0.001] | 0.004 [0.003] | 0.005* [0.003] |
| % of population in urban areas | −0.026* [0.016] | −0.005 [0.015] | −0.033 [0.024] | 0.008 [0.024] | −0.050* [0.028] | −0.014 [0.027] | −0.001 [0.001] | −0.001 [0.001] | 0.002 [0.003] | 0.003 [0.002] |
| Paediatricians/100,000 population | −0.017** [0.007] | −0.019*** [0.007] | −0.032*** [0.010] | −0.035*** [0.010] | −0.037*** [0.012] | −0.039*** [0.012] | −0.000 [0.000] | −0.001* [0.000] | −0.000 [0.001] | −0.002* [0.001] |
| GPs/100,000 population | −0.008* [0.004] | −0.013*** [0.004] | −0.019*** [0.006] | −0.031*** [0.007] | −0.021*** [0.008] | −0.027*** [0.008] | −0.000** [0.000] | −0.000 [0.000] | −0.002*** [0.001] | −0.002** [0.001] |
| Nurses/100,000 population | 0.000 [0.000] | −0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] | −0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] | −0.000 [0.000] | 0.000 [0.000] |
| Non-lagged variables | ||||||||||
| % of population <= 19 years | 0.421*** [0.031] | 0.321*** [0.033] | 0.651*** [0.047] | 0.534*** [0.051] | 0.763*** [0.056] | 0.589*** [0.058] | 0.013*** [0.002] | 0.011*** [0.002] | 0.033*** [0.006] | 0.033*** [0.006] |
| Variables | Neonatal Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Infant Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Under-five Years Mortality/ 1,000 Live Births | Mortality from Diabetes, Age 19 Years and Under/ 100,000 Population | Mortality from Epilepsy, Age 19 Years and Under/ 100,000 Population | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | Two-year lag | ||||||
| Log GDP per capita PPP | −1.255*** | −1.565*** | −2.012*** | −2.441*** | −2.388*** | −2.848*** | 0.018 | −0.026 | 0.091 | −0.083 |
| Out-of-pocket as % total health expenditure | 0.027** | 0.036*** | 0.014 | 0.036* | 0.023 | 0.058** | 0.002** | 0.002*** | 0.004 | 0.005* |
| % of population in urban areas | −0.026* | −0.005 | −0.033 | 0.008 | −0.050* | −0.014 | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Paediatricians/100,000 population | −0.017** | −0.019*** | −0.032*** | −0.035*** | −0.037*** | −0.039*** | −0.000 | −0.001* | −0.000 | −0.002* |
| GPs/100,000 population | −0.008* | −0.013*** | −0.019*** | −0.031*** | −0.021*** | −0.027*** | −0.000** | −0.000 | −0.002*** | −0.002** |
| Nurses/100,000 population | 0.000 | −0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.000 | 0.000 | −0.000 | 0.000 |
| Non-lagged variables | ||||||||||
| % of population <= 19 years | 0.421*** | 0.321*** | 0.651*** | 0.534*** | 0.763*** | 0.589*** | 0.013*** | 0.011*** | 0.033*** | 0.033*** |
| Financing (state=1 vs societal=0) | −0.008 [0.660] | 0.060 [0.602] | 0.149 [1.030] | 0.120 [0.953] | 0.084 [1.147] | 0.078 [1.020] | −0.001 [0.021] | −0.004 [0.017] | −0.004 [0.090] | −0.031 [0.077] |
| Service provision (state=1 vs private=0) | −1.072 [0.723] | −0.994 [0.662] | −2.075* [1.128] | −2.007* [1.047] | −2.254* [1.259] | −1.994* [1.123] | −0.022 [0.023] | −0.014 [0.019] | −0.215** [0.099] | −0.164* [0.085] |
| Primary care overall score (strong= 1 vs weak=0) | 0.229 [0.693] | 0.178 [0.637] | 0.413 [1.080] | 0.538 [1.005] | 0.556 [1.208] | 0.549 [1.082] | 0.049** [0.023] | 0.037* [0.019] | 0.216** [0.096] | 0.176** [0.083] |
| Primary care overall score (medium= 1 vs weak=0) | 0.148 [0.682] | 0.281 [0.627] | 0.229 [1.063] | 0.670 [0.989] | 0.219 [1.189] | 0.593 [1.064] | 0.027 [0.023] | 0.025 [0.019] | 0.144 [0.095] | 0.130 [0.082] |
| Constant | 9.194 [4.402] | 13.131 [4.379] | 15.295 [6.742] | 19.474 [6.692] | 18.966 [8.002] | 24.404 [7.658] | −0.320 [0.222] | 0.111 [0.197] | −1.414 [0.780] | 0.271 [0.717] |
| Observations | 166 | 164 | 166 | 164 | 166 | 164 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 166 |
| Number of countries | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
| Financing (state=1 vs societal=0) | −0.008 | 0.060 | 0.149 | 0.120 | 0.084 | 0.078 | −0.001 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.031 |
| Service provision (state=1 vs private=0) | −1.072 | −0.994 | −2.075* | −2.007* | −2.254* | −1.994* | −0.022 | −0.014 | −0.215** | −0.164* |
| Primary care overall score (strong= 1 vs weak=0) | 0.229 | 0.178 | 0.413 | 0.538 | 0.556 | 0.549 | 0.049** | 0.037* | 0.216** | 0.176** |
| Primary care overall score (medium= 1 vs weak=0) | 0.148 | 0.281 | 0.229 | 0.670 | 0.219 | 0.593 | 0.027 | 0.025 | 0.144 | 0.130 |
| Constant | 9.194 | 13.131 | 15.295 | 19.474 | 18.966 | 24.404 | −0.320 | 0.111 | −1.414 | 0.271 |
| Observations | 166 | 164 | 166 | 164 | 166 | 164 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 166 |
| Number of countries | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Note: Standard errors in brackets; ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10.
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