Johansen test results during pre-COVID-19 period-unrestricted cointegration rank test (Trace and maximum Eigenvalue)
| Number of cointegrating relations | Eigenvalue | Trace Statistic | 0.05 Critical value | Prob.** | Max-eigen Statistic | 0.05 Critical value | Prob.** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None * | 0.782461 | 406.6155 | 239.2354 | 0.0000 | 97.62404 | 64.50472 | 0.0000 |
| At most 1 * | 0.649216 | 308.9914 | 197.3709 | 0.0000 | 67.04540 | 58.43354 | 0.0058 |
| At most 2 * | 0.608451 | 241.9460 | 159.5297 | 0.0000 | 60.00920 | 52.36261 | 0.0069 |
| At most 3 * | 0.558575 | 181.9368 | 125.6154 | 0.0000 | 52.33589 | 46.23142 | 0.0099 |
| At most 4 * | 0.510236 | 129.6009 | 95.75366 | 0.0000 | 45.68523 | 40.07757 | 0.0106 |
| At most 5 * | 0.348686 | 83.91570 | 69.81889 | 0.0025 | 27.44090 | 33.87687 | 0.2405 |
| At most 6 * | 0.292359 | 56.47480 | 47.85613 | 0.0063 | 22.13238 | 27.58434 | 0.2137 |
| At most 7 * | 0.252901 | 34.34242 | 29.79707 | 0.0140 | 18.65968 | 21.13162 | 0.1071 |
| At most 8 * | 0.182305 | 15.68274 | 15.49471 | 0.0468 | 12.88099 | 14.26460 | 0.0817 |
| At most 9 | 0.042833 | 2.801745 | 3.841465 | 0.0942 | 2.801745 | 3.841465 | 0.0942 |
| Number of cointegrating relations | Eigenvalue | Trace | 0.05 | Prob.** | Max-eigen | 0.05 | Prob.** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None * | 0.782461 | 406.6155 | 239.2354 | 0.0000 | 97.62404 | 64.50472 | 0.0000 |
| At most 1 * | 0.649216 | 308.9914 | 197.3709 | 0.0000 | 67.04540 | 58.43354 | 0.0058 |
| At most 2 * | 0.608451 | 241.9460 | 159.5297 | 0.0000 | 60.00920 | 52.36261 | 0.0069 |
| At most 3 * | 0.558575 | 181.9368 | 125.6154 | 0.0000 | 52.33589 | 46.23142 | 0.0099 |
| At most 4 * | 0.510236 | 129.6009 | 95.75366 | 0.0000 | 45.68523 | 40.07757 | 0.0106 |
| At most 5 * | 0.348686 | 83.91570 | 69.81889 | 0.0025 | 27.44090 | 33.87687 | 0.2405 |
| At most 6 * | 0.292359 | 56.47480 | 47.85613 | 0.0063 | 22.13238 | 27.58434 | 0.2137 |
| At most 7 * | 0.252901 | 34.34242 | 29.79707 | 0.0140 | 18.65968 | 21.13162 | 0.1071 |
| At most 8 * | 0.182305 | 15.68274 | 15.49471 | 0.0468 | 12.88099 | 14.26460 | 0.0817 |
| At most 9 | 0.042833 | 2.801745 | 3.841465 | 0.0942 | 2.801745 | 3.841465 | 0.0942 |
Note(s): Trace test indicates 9 cointegrating eqn(s) and max-eigenvalue test indicates 5 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**p-values
Source(s): Author’s calculations