Empirical findings: estimates of equation (1)
| Variable/Model | Parameter | (1) | (1b) | (1c) | (1d) | (1e) | (1f) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure investment | Long-run | 0.69*** [0.06] | 0.63*** [0.06] | 0.68*** [0.06] | 0.70*** [0.06] | 0.62*** [0.07] | 0.71*** [0.06] |
| Short-run | 0.49*** [0.06] | 0.42*** [0.06] | 0.48*** [0.06] | 0.49*** [0.06] | 0.49*** [0.07] | 0.47*** [0.06] | |
| Demand growth | Long-run | 0.06 [0.08] | 0.25** [0.12] | 0.09 [0.09] | 0.01 [0.08] | 0.22 [0.13] | 0.03 [0.09] |
| Short-run | 0.06 [0.08] | 0.25*** [0.12] | 0.09 [0.09] | 0.01 [0.08] | 0.22 [0.13] | 0.03 [0.09] | |
| Inflation rate | Long-run | −0.03*** [0.01] | −0.03*** [0.01] | −0.04*** [0.01] | −0.02** [0.01] | −0.02** [0.13] | −0.03** [0.01] |
| Short-run | −0.01 [0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | −0.02[0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | −0.008 [0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | |
| Terms of trade | Long-run | 0.35* [0.17] | 0.35* [0.19] | ||||
| Short-run | 0.35*** [0.17] | 0.35* [0.19] | |||||
| Real exchange rate | Long-run | 0.07 [0.12] | 0.09 [0.11] | ||||
| Short-run | −0.04 [0.12] | 0.02 [0.02] | |||||
| Labor cost | Long-run | −0.15* [0.08] | −0.07 [0.09] | −0.18* [0.09] | |||
| Short-run | 0.02 [0.08] | 0.10 [0.09] | −0.09 [0.09] | ||||
| Best model | (2, 3, 0, 1) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 0) | (2, 3, 0, 1) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 2) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 0, 2) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 2, 2) | |
| BG test (p-value) | 0.87 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 0.66 | |
| Bound F-test | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Ect. (p-value) | −0.88*** [0.16] | −0.86*** [0.16] | −0.84*** [0.16] | −0.88*** [0.16] | −0.85*** [0.15] | −0.85*** [0.16] | |
| Variable/Model | (1) | (1b) | (1c) | (1d) | (1e) | (1f) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure investment | 0.69*** [0.06] | 0.63*** [0.06] | 0.68*** [0.06] | 0.70*** [0.06] | 0.62*** [0.07] | 0.71*** [0.06] | |
| 0.49*** [0.06] | 0.42*** [0.06] | 0.48*** [0.06] | 0.49*** [0.06] | 0.49*** [0.07] | 0.47*** [0.06] | ||
| Demand growth | 0.06 [0.08] | 0.25** [0.12] | 0.09 [0.09] | 0.01 [0.08] | 0.22 [0.13] | 0.03 [0.09] | |
| 0.06 [0.08] | 0.25*** [0.12] | 0.09 [0.09] | 0.01 [0.08] | 0.22 [0.13] | 0.03 [0.09] | ||
| Inflation rate | −0.03*** [0.01] | −0.03*** [0.01] | −0.04*** [0.01] | −0.02** [0.01] | −0.02** [0.13] | −0.03** [0.01] | |
| −0.01 [0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | −0.02[0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | −0.008 [0.01] | −0.01 [0.01] | ||
| Terms of trade | 0.35* [0.17] | 0.35* [0.19] | |||||
| 0.35*** [0.17] | 0.35* [0.19] | ||||||
| Real exchange rate | 0.07 [0.12] | 0.09 [0.11] | |||||
| −0.04 [0.12] | 0.02 [0.02] | ||||||
| Labor cost | −0.15* [0.08] | −0.07 [0.09] | −0.18* [0.09] | ||||
| 0.02 [0.08] | 0.10 [0.09] | −0.09 [0.09] | |||||
| Best model | (2, 3, 0, 1) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 0) | (2, 3, 0, 1) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 2) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 0, 2) | (2, 3, 0, 1, 2, 2) | |
| BG test (p-value) | 0.87 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 0.66 | |
| Bound | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Ect. (p-value) | −0.88*** [0.16] | −0.86*** [0.16] | −0.84*** [0.16] | −0.88*** [0.16] | −0.85*** [0.15] | −0.85*** [0.16] | |
Note(s): (a) Standard errors are in brackets; (b) regressions were performed with the introduction of a time trend; (c) the intercept and trend parameters are not presented due to limited space, but are available upon request; (d) *, ** and *** mean, respectively, statically significant at 10, 5 and 1% and (e) the lag for each variable utilized in our regressions was determined based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC)
Source(s): Table by authors
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.