Exit of activities – logit models
| Dependent variable | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exit | |||||
| General model | Low | Medium-low | Medium-high | High | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| Relatedness density | −7.745*** | −11.517** | −12.222*** | −9.621*** | −10.978*** |
| (0.501) | (4.984) | (1.019) | (1.261) | (1.289) | |
| [–1.419] | [–2.095] | [–2.239] | [–1.760] | [–1.730] | |
| PCI | 1.848*** | 7.601*** | 2.687*** | 0.569** | −0.396 |
| (0.238) | (1.407) | (0.370) | (0.271) | (0.309) | |
| [0.338] | [1.383] | [0.492] | [0.104] | [–0.062] | |
| Diversity | 0.178*** | 0.196 | 0.350*** | 0.648*** | 0.422** |
| (0.030) | (0.180) | (0.047) | (0.093) | (0.170) | |
| Log(GDPpc) | 0.015 | −0.592*** | −0.011 | −0.001 | 0.277** |
| (0.043) | (0.203) | (0.052) | (0.079) | (0.120) | |
| Log(population) | 0.132*** | −0.059 | 0.024 | 0.067 | 0.524*** |
| (0.028) | (0.108) | (0.032) | (0.050) | (0.114) | |
| Region productivity | −0.115 | 1.171*** | −0.073 | −0.268* | −0.853*** |
| (0.084) | (0.369) | (0.104) | (0.159) | (0.218) | |
| Region HC | 0.579*** | −0.390 | 0.746*** | 0.961** | 1.621* |
| (0.209) | (0.649) | (0.248) | (0.454) | (0.902) | |
| Incentives | −0.051 | −0.030 | −0.130* | 0.053 | −0.292 |
| (0.056) | (0.235) | (0.072) | (0.126) | (0.344) | |
| Credit | 0.000*** | −0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000** |
| (0.000) | (0.00000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
| Sector size | −0.298*** | −0.305** | −0.302*** | −0.285*** | −0.264*** |
| (0.033) | (0.124) | (0.041) | (0.036) | (0.043) | |
| CL | 1.559*** | 1.456** | 1.431*** | 1.957*** | 3.357*** |
| (0.206) | (0.727) | (0.247) | (0.222) | (0.290) | |
| Sector HC | 0.595** | −0.229 | 0.622* | 0.407 | 0.838** |
| (0.278) | (0.963) | (0.369) | (0.282) | (0.330) | |
| Sector productivity | 0.132* | 0.388 | 0.149 | 0.096 | 0.020 |
| (0.069) | (0.261) | (0.092) | (0.079) | (0.102) | |
| Constant | −3.644*** | −10.714*** | −2.934*** | −3.909*** | −5.220*** |
| (0.501) | (2.753) | (0.665) | (0.984) | (1.984) | |
| Fixed effects – UF | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Fixed effects – activities | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 99,919 | 3,065 | 47,326 | 36,775 | 12,753 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Log likelihood | −54737.750 | −1658.514 | −25890.140 | −20160.710 | −6223.971 |
| Akaike Inf. Crit | 109727.500 | 3535.029 | 52030.280 | 40567.430 | 12669.940 |
| Dependent variable | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exit | |||||
| General model | Low | Medium-low | Medium-high | High | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| Relatedness density | −7.745*** | −11.517** | −12.222*** | −9.621*** | −10.978*** |
| (0.501) | (4.984) | (1.019) | (1.261) | (1.289) | |
| [–1.419] | [–2.095] | [–2.239] | [–1.760] | [–1.730] | |
| PCI | 1.848*** | 7.601*** | 2.687*** | 0.569** | −0.396 |
| (0.238) | (1.407) | (0.370) | (0.271) | (0.309) | |
| [0.338] | [1.383] | [0.492] | [0.104] | [–0.062] | |
| Diversity | 0.178*** | 0.196 | 0.350*** | 0.648*** | 0.422** |
| (0.030) | (0.180) | (0.047) | (0.093) | (0.170) | |
| Log(GDPpc) | 0.015 | −0.592*** | −0.011 | −0.001 | 0.277** |
| (0.043) | (0.203) | (0.052) | (0.079) | (0.120) | |
| Log(population) | 0.132*** | −0.059 | 0.024 | 0.067 | 0.524*** |
| (0.028) | (0.108) | (0.032) | (0.050) | (0.114) | |
| Region productivity | −0.115 | 1.171*** | −0.073 | −0.268* | −0.853*** |
| (0.084) | (0.369) | (0.104) | (0.159) | (0.218) | |
| Region HC | 0.579*** | −0.390 | 0.746*** | 0.961** | 1.621* |
| (0.209) | (0.649) | (0.248) | (0.454) | (0.902) | |
| Incentives | −0.051 | −0.030 | −0.130* | 0.053 | −0.292 |
| (0.056) | (0.235) | (0.072) | (0.126) | (0.344) | |
| Credit | 0.000*** | −0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000** |
| (0.000) | (0.00000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
| Sector size | −0.298*** | −0.305** | −0.302*** | −0.285*** | −0.264*** |
| (0.033) | (0.124) | (0.041) | (0.036) | (0.043) | |
| CL | 1.559*** | 1.456** | 1.431*** | 1.957*** | 3.357*** |
| (0.206) | (0.727) | (0.247) | (0.222) | (0.290) | |
| Sector HC | 0.595** | −0.229 | 0.622* | 0.407 | 0.838** |
| (0.278) | (0.963) | (0.369) | (0.282) | (0.330) | |
| Sector productivity | 0.132* | 0.388 | 0.149 | 0.096 | 0.020 |
| (0.069) | (0.261) | (0.092) | (0.079) | (0.102) | |
| Constant | −3.644*** | −10.714*** | −2.934*** | −3.909*** | −5.220*** |
| (0.501) | (2.753) | (0.665) | (0.984) | (1.984) | |
| Fixed effects – UF | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Fixed effects – activities | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 99,919 | 3,065 | 47,326 | 36,775 | 12,753 |
| Pseudo | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Log likelihood | −54737.750 | −1658.514 | −25890.140 | −20160.710 | −6223.971 |
| Akaike Inf. Crit | 109727.500 | 3535.029 | 52030.280 | 40567.430 | 12669.940 |
Note(s): *p0.1; **p0.05; ***p0.01
Robust standard-errors (clustered at the microregion and activity level) are in parentheses
Initial periods (t) are 2009 and 2014 and final (t+5) 2014 and 2019
The values in square brackets [ ] represent the average marginal effects
Source(s): Own elaboration
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