Table 6

GARCH analysis: variance equation

SeriesBUAUBDAD
Stock market indices
OMX Riga−0.00001***−0.000005*−0.00001***0.000006
OMX Tallin−0.000005−0.00004***−0.00002***−0.0000318***
OMX Vilnius−0.000003***−0.000001**−0.000001**−0.000001***
Individual stocks
AS LHV Group0.000030.000040.0004***−0.00007***
Coop Pank AS0.000030.0002−0.0001*0.0004
Ignitis Grupe AB0.0002*0.00007−0.000010.0001***
Merko Ehitus−0.0000010.00001***0.00001***0.00002***
Siauliu Bankas0.00007***−0.00006***0.0001***−0.0001***
Tallink Grupp0.000007−0.0000010.00001***−0.00000009
Tallinna Kuabamaja Grupp0.0000009−0.00001***−0.000005***−0.0000001
Tallinna Sadam0.000002−0.000002−0.000004***−0.000001**
Telia Lietuva0.00002***−0.00001***0.00001***−0.00001***

Note(s): Table 6 displays the results of the variance equation within a GARCH estimation framework, specified as Rt = β1 + β2BD + β3AD + β4BU + β5AU + εt; εt ∼ N(0,Vt); Vt = α1 + α2BD + α3AD + α4BU + α5AU + α6Vt−1 + α7ε2t−1 + ηt. BD, AD, BU and AU represent dummy variables. BD equals 1 for the five days preceding a barrier crossing during a downward movement, and 0 otherwise. AD is applicable for the five days following the same event. BU corresponds to the five days before crossing a barrier from below, while AU is set to 1 for the five days following the same upward crossing. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10, 5 and 1% level, respectively

Source(s): Authors' own creation

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