Barrier hypotheses tests
| Series | H1: There is no difference in the conditional mean return before and after a downwards crossing of a barrier | H2: There is no difference in the conditional mean return before and after an upwards crossing of a barrier | H3: There is no difference in conditional variance before and after a downwards crossing of a barrier | H4: There is no difference in conditional variance before and after an upwards crossing of a barrier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock market indices | ||||
| OMX Riga | 2.009 | 1.993 | 2.406 | 3.008* |
| OMX Tallin | 3.208* | 28.670*** | 0.257 | 38.527*** |
| OMX Vilnius | 2.004 | 3.749* | 0.00004 | 2.478 |
| Individual stocks | ||||
| AS LHV Group | 1.122 | 0.066 | 7.862*** | 0.0006 |
| Coop Pank AS | 8.845*** | 0.021 | 2.079 | 0.121 |
| Ignitis Grupe AB | 0.009 | 0.928 | 21.006*** | 0.130 |
| Merko Ehitus | 2.429 | 4.118** | 7.546*** | 6.979*** |
| Siauliu Bankas | 1.664 | 0.637 | 1048.757*** | 273.689*** |
| Tallink Grupp | 3.641* | 3.497* | 6.415** | 1.049 |
| Tallinna Kuabamaja Grupp | 2.190 | 0.018 | 2.783* | 3.552* |
| Tallinna Sadam | 0.434 | 5.514** | 2.247 | 1.778 |
| Telia Lietuva | 7.898*** | 14.219*** | 176.474*** | 169.493*** |
| Series | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMX Riga | 2.009 | 1.993 | 2.406 | 3.008* |
| OMX Tallin | 3.208* | 28.670*** | 0.257 | 38.527*** |
| OMX Vilnius | 2.004 | 3.749* | 0.00004 | 2.478 |
| AS LHV Group | 1.122 | 0.066 | 7.862*** | 0.0006 |
| Coop Pank AS | 8.845*** | 0.021 | 2.079 | 0.121 |
| Ignitis Grupe AB | 0.009 | 0.928 | 21.006*** | 0.130 |
| Merko Ehitus | 2.429 | 4.118** | 7.546*** | 6.979*** |
| Siauliu Bankas | 1.664 | 0.637 | 1048.757*** | 273.689*** |
| Tallink Grupp | 3.641* | 3.497* | 6.415** | 1.049 |
| Tallinna Kuabamaja Grupp | 2.190 | 0.018 | 2.783* | 3.552* |
| Tallinna Sadam | 0.434 | 5.514** | 2.247 | 1.778 |
| Telia Lietuva | 7.898*** | 14.219*** | 176.474*** | 169.493*** |
Note(s): Table 7 shows the results of a Chi-square test based on the likelihood ratio test of the four different null hypotheses. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10, 5, and 1% level, respectively
Source(s): Authors' own creation
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