Table 6

Mean (M) investments (0–100), returns, and 95% confidence intervals (CI)

Non-professionals n = 80Finance students n = 28Professionals n = 33
ConditionM 95%CIM 95%CIM 95%CI
Investment (103 USD)Presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2)57.12 [52.24; 62.01]47.43 [39.47; 55.39]34.61 [25.06; 44.15]
No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2)51.32 [46.13; 56.52]47.29 [38.23; 56.34]30.39 [22.11; 38.68]
Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4)41.90 [35.76; 48.04]38.50 [30.18; 46.82]31.70 [21.58; 41.82]
No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4)42.52 [36.82; 48.24]36.43 [28.20; 44.66]27.61 [18.78; 36.42]
Return (103 USD)aPresentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2)−4.09 [−3.75; −4.45]−4.13 [−3.44; −4.82]−2.67 [−1.93; −3.40]
No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2)−4.24 [−3.81; −4.67]−3.15 [−0.97; −3.76]−2.52 [−1.84; −3.21]
Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4)−1.17 [−1.00; −1.34]−1.23 [−0.97; −1.50]−0.95 [−0.64; −1.24]
No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4)−1.15 [−0.99; −1.30]−1.11 [−0.86; −1.37]−1.03 [−0.70; −1.36]

Note(s):a(Investment at t0) (% price difference at t1)/100 (see Table 4). Time t0 refers to when predictions were made; time t1 refers to three months after the investments were made

Source(s): Authors' own creation/work

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