Mean (M) investments (0–100), returns, and 95% confidence intervals (CI)
| Non-professionals n = 80 | Finance students n = 28 | Professionals n = 33 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition | M 95%CI | M 95%CI | M 95%CI | |
| Investment (103 USD) | Presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | 57.12 [52.24; 62.01] | 47.43 [39.47; 55.39] | 34.61 [25.06; 44.15] |
| No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | 51.32 [46.13; 56.52] | 47.29 [38.23; 56.34] | 30.39 [22.11; 38.68] | |
| Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | 41.90 [35.76; 48.04] | 38.50 [30.18; 46.82] | 31.70 [21.58; 41.82] | |
| No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | 42.52 [36.82; 48.24] | 36.43 [28.20; 44.66] | 27.61 [18.78; 36.42] | |
| Return (103 USD)a | Presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | −4.09 [−3.75; −4.45] | −4.13 [−3.44; −4.82] | −2.67 [−1.93; −3.40] |
| No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | −4.24 [−3.81; −4.67] | −3.15 [−0.97; −3.76] | −2.52 [−1.84; −3.21] | |
| Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | −1.17 [−1.00; −1.34] | −1.23 [−0.97; −1.50] | −0.95 [−0.64; −1.24] | |
| No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | −1.15 [−0.99; −1.30] | −1.11 [−0.86; −1.37] | −1.03 [−0.70; −1.36] |
| Non-professionals | Finance students | Professionals | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition | M 95%CI | M 95%CI | M 95%CI | |
| Investment (103 USD) | Presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | 57.12 [52.24; 62.01] | 47.43 [39.47; 55.39] | 34.61 [25.06; 44.15] |
| No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | 51.32 [46.13; 56.52] | 47.29 [38.23; 56.34] | 30.39 [22.11; 38.68] | |
| Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | 41.90 [35.76; 48.04] | 38.50 [30.18; 46.82] | 31.70 [21.58; 41.82] | |
| No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | 42.52 [36.82; 48.24] | 36.43 [28.20; 44.66] | 27.61 [18.78; 36.42] | |
| Return (103 USD)a | Presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | −4.09 [−3.75; −4.45] | −4.13 [−3.44; −4.82] | −2.67 [−1.93; −3.40] |
| No presentation of buy recommendation (Stock 1, 2) | −4.24 [−3.81; −4.67] | −3.15 [−0.97; −3.76] | −2.52 [−1.84; −3.21] | |
| Presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | −1.17 [−1.00; −1.34] | −1.23 [−0.97; −1.50] | −0.95 [−0.64; −1.24] | |
| No presentation of sell recommendation (Stock 3, 4) | −1.15 [−0.99; −1.30] | −1.11 [−0.86; −1.37] | −1.03 [−0.70; −1.36] |
Note(s): a(Investment at t0) (% price difference at t1)/100 (see Table 4). Time t0 refers to when predictions were made; time t1 refers to three months after the investments were made
Source(s): Authors' own creation/work
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