Bayesian linear regression model of herd behavior
| Model comparison - I engage in investments that are SR | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Models | P(M) | P(M|data) | BFM | BF10 | R2 |
| Peeradvice + Hot stocks | 0.017 | 0.177 | 12.722 | 1.000 | 0.263 |
| Peeradvice + majority + friends'influence + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.167 | 0.097 | 0.538 | 0.055 | 0.280 |
| Peeradvice + majority + Hot stocks | 0.017 | 0.086 | 5.524 | 0.483 | 0.275 |
| Peeradvice + majority | 0.017 | 0.065 | 4.085 | 0.365 | 0.246 |
| Peeradvice + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.017 | 0.058 | 3.662 | 0.329 | 0.268 |
| Peeradvice + majority + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.033 | 0.054 | 1.642 | 0.151 | 0.277 |
| Peeradvice + majority + friends'influence | 0.033 | 0.050 | 1.516 | 0.140 | 0.276 |
| Model comparison - I engage in investments that are SR | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Models | P(M) | P(M|data) | BFM | BF10 | |
| Peeradvice + Hot stocks | 0.017 | 0.177 | 12.722 | 1.000 | 0.263 |
| Peeradvice + majority + friends'influence + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.167 | 0.097 | 0.538 | 0.055 | 0.280 |
| Peeradvice + majority + Hot stocks | 0.017 | 0.086 | 5.524 | 0.483 | 0.275 |
| Peeradvice + majority | 0.017 | 0.065 | 4.085 | 0.365 | 0.246 |
| Peeradvice + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.017 | 0.058 | 3.662 | 0.329 | 0.268 |
| Peeradvice + majority + Hot stocks + peerpressure | 0.033 | 0.054 | 1.642 | 0.151 | 0.277 |
| Peeradvice + majority + friends'influence | 0.033 | 0.050 | 1.516 | 0.140 | 0.276 |
Note(s): BFM (Bayesian Factor Model) quantifies the evidence favoring one model over another. P(M) is the probability of a specific model. P(M|data) is the probability of the model given the observed data. BF10 is the Bayes Factor supporting the alternative hypothesis over the null hypothesis. R2 represents the coefficient of determination, indicating the proportion of variance in the dependent variable explained by the independent variables
Peeradvice: I rely on my friends'/family's/peer's advice for making an investment decision
Majority: I make my investment decisions based on the investment decisions taken by the majority of the investors
Hot stocks: I prefer to invest more in hot stocks (high in demand)
Peerpressure: I invest/will invest in socially responsible securities because my peers have invested in the same
Friends' influence: I invest in funds that I heard about from a friend
Source(s): Table by authors